Snakes Gould wrote:
bigh0rt wrote:It should also be noted that the Total Run Line is just as, if not more, important than whether somebody is a favorite or not. It's not just the Money Line. It's the Money Line compared to what should be expected given opponent, track record, recent trends, home/road, etc. The same goes for the TRLs.
100 % agree. i definitely use the lines are a deciding factor, but to be honest, betting lines only dictate the likelihood of a win, not necessarily pitching performance.
This is true, but extrapolating that information can be very useful. My picks for tomorrow are Tallet and Zimmermann/Detwiler
, and a big reason is what Vegas is saying about them without saying it. -120 juice on U 8.5 as an opening line without betters skewing it is low, pairing it with Detwiler being a pick 'em against Matt Cain, and it stands to reason for those to be that way, they're expecting him to pitch pretty well.