Sekrah wrote:Agree.. if you're leaving meatballs over the play, your line drive % are going to be up and your BABIP is going to be higher than guys throwing fastballs over the corners or with tails.
His BB/9 and HR/9 are also up. There's alot more than bad luck involved here. He hasn't been as good as he was last year, plain and simple.
There is a survivor bias in these kinds of stats. That means not all pitchers will revert back to the .300 BABIP. Pitchers that are getting lit up and stay lit up will not last. They'll either get cut, or head for the minors. Even Adam Eatons career BABIP is only .305.
Basically it means you're not major league quality, and those stats will wash you out. Does anyone really think that if you were out there tossing lollipops from the mound that your BABIP would be .300 and your HR/FB rate would be 11%?