I am in a deep H2H keeper league, with 18 teams. I am wondering if I should sell high on Ibanez. I was excited for him coming into the year hitting in Philly, but he's off to a torrid start and I'm wondering if I should sell high on him and get a more reputable outfielder, or perhaps upgrade elsewhere.
Here is my roster. The league differentiates the outfield positions, with an extra OF which doesn't differentiate.
C - Pablo Santiago 1B - Albert Pujols 2B - Robinson Cano 3B - Chipper Jones SS - Jhonny Peralta LF - Carl Crawford CF - Randy Winn RF - Nelson Cruz OF - Raul Ibanez Util - Daniel Murphy BN - Freddy Sanchez BN - Pedro Feliz BN - Fred Lewis BN - Colby Rasmus BN - Lastings Milledge
SP - Dan Haren SP - Kevin Slowey SP - Jered Weaver RP - Heath Bell RP - Grant Balfour RP - Octavio Dotel RP - Manny Delcarmen P - Erik Bedard P - Armando Gallaraga P - Andy Pettitte BN - Todd Wellemeyer BN - Chad Gaudin BN - Felipe Paulino
As you could probably tell, the WW isn't much of an option, though Gaudin and Paulino were recent pickups. What do you guys think?
I like Ibanez this year. He always produced in Seattle. Now he plays in a hitters park with a much better lineup around him. I don't think he's a sell high. I think he will produce well above average numbers for himself.
I think Ibanez will continue to do well this year. See what you can get for him though. An insurance policy at 3B, a more consistent SS, maybe another OF bat and (always good) pitching depth could be very helpful.
It all depends on expectation. Ibanez's flyball rate is not that much different from what he's done before, but he's converting a big chunk of those flyballs for home runs (possibly the more favorable park is a factor, 6 of his 8 HR were at home). It's a good bet to see that SLG to come down eventually and settle as more of a 25 home run hitter than a 35 home run one. So, in that regard, he's worth selling high to see what kind of greater value you can get, but he'll be fairly solid.
You don't have to necessarily sell b/c he's going to produce all year, but it's definitely a sell high situation. His OPS is 1.157 with a .360 batting average. There's no way in hell he maintains even near those numbers. He's a quality player, not an MVP candidate.
If you can pull off a Beckett or Nolasco acquisition, it's a classic buy low/sell high.
The Pujols impression continues with two more HRs today. Was tempted to pull the trigger on a trade straight up for Gallardo a week ago. I need pitching in a bad way and have capable backup OFs. Think I can more get more now?