alexeroberts wrote:allow me to be the dissenting voice this year.
first, peavy's numbers were way down last year - all his peripherals were off. he is, flatly, an avg pitcher with high K potential OUTSIDE of petco. granted he plays half his games in petco which is his saving grace, but his park adjusted numbers are just not as attractive.
Harang, on the other hand, also had a down year last year - but it could be attributed almost entirely to the injury he suffered as he came back late in the year and was his usual self from 07 and 06. he plays in a bad park and will give up a share of Homers, but the basic point is this:
The difference between Harang and Peavy is much smaller than the difference between Bruce and Mora.
Mora, by the end of the year, could be borderline droppable. Bruce has HUGE upside, more so for the future but for this year as well. Bruce could easily go 285-25-90. With your OF - Jones, Hart, Cruz - full of question marks and Non-sure things, I'd keep Bruce there.
No way I do this deal if I'm you. Peavy has a lot of name brand value but he has been HORENDOUS this year. Harang is producing like he always has. leave it be.
I agree about Bruce's upside, although IMO he won't truly reach that upside for another year or two; until then it's gonna be lots of highs and lows typical of a young, free-swinging slugger with average-to-low plate discipline. And just to add a little different perspective to that pitching comparison:
Harang's BEST year of his career, he had a 3.73 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .242 BAA.
Peavy's "down" year last season, he had a 2.85 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and .229 BAA.
Unless there's something physically wrong with Peavy (and he insists that there isn't), I don't see the difference between him and Harang as being all that small.