Dont do it. Verlander is about to turn the corner and santana is great. You are losing that deal
Read this (I found it on fantasybaseball365.com)
Apparently not everything that happens in Vegas stays in Vegas. I brought home a stuffy nose and sore throat. Justin Verlander seems to have brought his control problems of 2008 with him over his first few starts of 2009. However, he has also added back his velocity lost in 2008 and has been striking out over 10 per 9 IP. With a BABIP of .412, is it time to buy low on Verlander?
I love pitchers who miss bats. The problem is that only the elite miss bats while limiting walks. These are the pitchers that usually go way too early in the draft for my taste. I like to focus on the pitchers who are just a control adjustment away from really hitting it big time. See for example: Jonathan Sanchez and Oliver Perez. Thus far in 2009, neither of those two have taken their game to the next level. Verlander has had that high level of success in the past and simply needs to find his way back there once again. He is pitching much better than both Sanchez and Perez, but his ERA certainly does not reflect it.
Verlander is the one getting himself into trouble. However, he has made some really good pitches in those situations that have just found a hole. For example, last night against the Angels with runners at first and second, Verlander gets two strikes on Torii Hunter then paints the black (or slightly off the black) with a 95 mph fastball. Hunter does what he can with two strikes and hits a two hopper to what would have been directly at the secondbaseman. The problem was that the infield was in double play depth and the ball weakly rolled through for a base hit, allowing a run to score.
Here's how Verlander stacks up to other pitchers with similar strikeout rates.
The difference in ERA between Verlander and Davies speaks volumes. Also take into account that hitters are swinging at more pitches out of the strike zone and making less contact on Verlander than his career averages. All of this of course does not guarantee anything. Verlander still needs to avoid the big inning and decrease his walk rate. It does go to show that if you buy Verlander for 10 cents on the dollar, you could walk away with a tremendous bargain.