Abreu or Dunn for 2009 (Poll)

[beef]

10 team h2h league. Redraft, no keepers. Looking for opinions on who people would rather have on their team for 2009. Scoring is as follows:
1B - Singles 1 point
2B - Doubles 2 points
3B - Triples 3 points
BB - Walks (Batters) 1 point
CS - Caught Stealing -1 point
HR - Home Runs 4 points
R - Runs 1 point
RBI - Runs Batted In 1 point
SB - Stolen Bases 3 points

Who would you want for 2009? And how far of a margin is there between the two?

Thanks in advance for the help.

[The Mighty Trow]

i give the edge to dunn here due to his nice obp and power stroke. but if abreu keeps stealing bases at this current pace...

[HawkEyeMike22]

I voted for Dunn given that this league doesn't penalize for strikeouts.

I'm also worried about Abreu's power. His average and steals have been great thus far, but he's only got two extra-base hits (both doubles). In his previous three seasons as a Philly and a Yankee, Abreu had 15, 16, and 20 homeruns. This year, he has less lineup protection and he's in a less homer-friendly park.

Anybody else worried about this?

[beef]

Giving it a bump for the morning crew.

Good points on the power numbers and change in park/lineup. Abreu is also older, so this could just be normal regression in power numbers for a player his age. I personally give the edge to Dunn as well, but I'm just not sure by how much.

[Pogotheostrich]

With that scoring system I'd take Dunn pretty easily.

[beef]

Any other opinions?

[Hey Hermano]

Dunn, easily. Abreu is getting old, his bat speed is slowing down and that in turn cuts into his walk-drawing ability. He has to swing earlier because he can't watch pitches as long.

Consider my attempts to trade Pat Burrell: viewtopic.php?t=381116

[DaShiz23]

With that scoring system I'd take Dunn pretty easily.

This.