Arod question?

[bcbhockey68]

My 1st year keeper league got off to a really late start so help me out because I have a draft tomorrow

I was wondering in a keeper league what does Arod's injury do for him? What round will he slide too? And if I could get him in the 2nd or 3rd round do I jump on that because one would think that Arod is good for at least 3 more years of top 3 numbers?

[bcbhockey68]

bump

[GoTwinkiesGo]

im struggling with trying to determine his value in my keeper league as well.

i'd say a-rod stays in the 1st round for at least 3-4 years, not dropping out of the 3rd round for another 5-6...

that said, i'd take a-rod in the 2nd (if he drops) and be very happy.

[bcbhockey68]

It's a 14 team league so probably there is no way he drops out of the 1st round, am I right?

[GoTwinkiesGo]

well, perhaps not... what pick do you have?

[bcbhockey68]

I'm not sure yet

[GoTwinkiesGo]

hmm... well here's what i'd do...

i wouldn't take him before:

hanley, pujols, miggy, wright, reyes, sizemore, braun, utley, teixeira, or longoria (no particular order)

so if i had the 11th or lower pick i'd either snag him or gamble that he'll be there on the turn (not likely).

the beauty of drafting this late is that a-rod's value for THIS season increases every day as he gets closer to a return, so maybe it'd be a good idea to take him in the 1st.

you'll get some differing opinions and it's ultimately up to you, but that's my take. good luck!

[bcbhockey68]

That's very helpful thank you, also do you think BJ Upton has a chance to slide to me in the 3rd if say I get Arod on the turn or if I miss Arod would he be a good 2nd rounder?

[GoTwinkiesGo]

mm, i like bj a lot as a keeper. i wouldn't expect him to get past the 2nd round though.

whether he's a good pick there depends on your first pick. if you get a good masher like a-rod or miggy or tex etc. in the first i'd consider taking him mid-late 2nd. if you end up with a reyes or rollins type i'd look for a better power hitter in that round.

it's tough projecting that far though. i'd suggest doing some mock drafts to get a feel for it.

[bcbhockey68]

thanks a bunch