BitterDodgerFan wrote:a twin now. is he a spot starter at home at least? most of the twins pitchers do well at home, as well as the rest of the team.
The Minnesota SP has recorded a QS in only 5 out of their last 15 home games (since the start of July). Over that time span, they are 8-7 at home, they've been outscored 97-81, and their SPs have averaged 5.1 innings per outing. This includes their last homestand, which featured a 3-game sweep by the Angels where they were outscored 35-15 after they started it with a sweep of the White Sox that featured a QS in 2 of the 3 games. By these stats alone, I'd say Pavano's a risky play at home.
However...their next 3 home opponents are KC, Cleveland, and Baltimore, so I would classify him as a hair better than risky at home. Not much though. In the middle of September, the Twins have a homestand against Oakland and Cleveland, so I would probably hold off on picking him up until then. That's their third series against Cleveland in less than a month, and I would expect Cleveland to be trotting out a double-A squad by then (assuming their current squad qualifies as a triple-A team). If the timeline works out to where he doesn't have to go against Toronto just before that homestand, he would be pulling a shift of @CLE, OAK, CLE over the course of 11 days, which would be too good of a streak to pass up. Someone in their rotation gets that assignment, so I'd say that would be pretty nice to pull stats from in the middle of Sept.