The Carl Pavano Thread

[Ursa]

I'd like to apologize to all Cafe denizens. I should have posted that I picked Pavano up a couple days ago. Then you'd all have had enough time to bench him tonight.

I am the Angel of Death.

[BitterDodgerFan]

HE IS WHO I THOUGHT HE WAS!

[Ursa]

And a Grand Slam to Callaspo. I guess it can't get any worse than this.

[BitterDodgerFan]

a lot of people picked him up for the spot start vs KC, if he was even available in the league.

by tomorrow, i think he'll be off most teams.

[iltat]

I sure am glad that's my opponent's team that he's ringing up that 18 ERA for...

[SecretAgentMan]

Well now what did you all expect lol?

It is good to see good old "Buttocks injury" still has what it takes lol.

[BitterDodgerFan]

a twin now. is he a spot starter at home at least? most of the twins pitchers do well at home, as well as the rest of the team.

[heyeaglefn]

a twin now. is he a spot starter at home at least? most of the twins pitchers do well at home, as well as the rest of the team.

I think he could be, may be able to get you a win if you need one, better chance now that he is with the Twins.

[iltat]

a twin now. is he a spot starter at home at least? most of the twins pitchers do well at home, as well as the rest of the team.

The Minnesota SP has recorded a QS in only 5 out of their last 15 home games (since the start of July). Over that time span, they are 8-7 at home, they've been outscored 97-81, and their SPs have averaged 5.1 innings per outing. This includes their last homestand, which featured a 3-game sweep by the Angels where they were outscored 35-15 after they started it with a sweep of the White Sox that featured a QS in 2 of the 3 games. By these stats alone, I'd say Pavano's a risky play at home.

However...their next 3 home opponents are KC, Cleveland, and Baltimore, so I would classify him as a hair better than risky at home. Not much though. In the middle of September, the Twins have a homestand against Oakland and Cleveland, so I would probably hold off on picking him up until then. That's their third series against Cleveland in less than a month, and I would expect Cleveland to be trotting out a double-A squad by then (assuming their current squad qualifies as a triple-A team). If the timeline works out to where he doesn't have to go against Toronto just before that homestand, he would be pulling a shift of @CLE, OAK, CLE over the course of 11 days, which would be too good of a streak to pass up. Someone in their rotation gets that assignment, so I'd say that would be pretty nice to pull stats from in the middle of Sept.

[BitterDodgerFan]

yeah they were going through a bad stretch at home but traditionally their SPs are good at home. especially last year with slowley and baker and this year, guys like blackburn have been decent at home. plus angels have been killing everyone. it's pretty well known that metrodome is the most advantageous home park or at least up there.