12 team league.

Draft order is drawn.

Another teams wants to join so the Commish puts 12 numbers in a hat.. draws one and puts them in that place and moves everyone else down.

I believe that the draft order needs to be redone, because even though the new player's number drawn is a fair independent trial.. the outcome is not fair and independent for the other teams.

Here is my post....

You have pick 4.

12 numbers are put in a bag.

How many numbers drawn from the bag can give you a lesser draft position?

4 of the 12 possible outcomes will cause you to lose value

If a 1 is drawn you drop to 5 (-1 draft space)

If a 2 is drawn you drop to 5 (-1 draft space)

If a 3 is drawn you drop to 5 (-1 draft space)

if a 4 is drawn you drop to 5 (-1 draft space)

If a 5 or greater is drawn it has no effect on you so the propability of number being drawn out of the hat that can cause you to lose value is 4 out of 12.

There is a 33% of a drawn number moving you down a spot in draft order.

Surely that part makes sense......

How many numbers drawn from the bag can give me a lesser draft position?

11 of the 12 possible outcomes will cause me to lose value

If a 1 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 2 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 3 is drawn I drop to 13

if a 4 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 5 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 6 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 7 is drawn I drop to 13

if a 8 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 9 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 10 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 11 is drawn I drop to 13

If a 12 or greater is drawn it has no effect on me so the propability of number being drawn out of the hat that can cause me to lose value is 11 out of 12.

There is a 91% of a drawn number moving me down a spot in draft order.

Thoughs?