Sevon wrote:I like Votto and Shields.....BUT.....you need to go with Chris Davis. Third base is shallow these days and Davis is a stud. You can fill your UT later with best available without hamstringing your lineup early.
This is good advice, and you should do just fine if you follow it. That being said, I really like Votto. He has quietly become a major power threat, especially in CIN. I think he has a legitimate shot at .300/30/100 this year, and he clearly will be a dominant 1B in the future. Both Votto and Davis have huge upsides, and I think they even out in the long run. But Votto helps you more now.
Guzman24 wrote:12 team keeper league 5x5 (OBP instead of AVG) Keep 8
Trying to figure out which direction to go in my draft. I have 3 picks in the first 4 rounds. 3rd pick overall and then 2 picks in the 3rd round. I have good balance right now with my keepers. 6 excellent hitters, lots of speed and power along with 2 ace starting pitchers. Do I go after the best available bat first or stack my staff with another top SP? Any thoughts?
Best SP/RP Available: Lidge, Soria, Rivera, DiceK,Dempster, Shields, ESantana, Wainwright, Danks, Sheets, Zambrano, Bedard, Baker,Cain
I'd target Chipper who just signed a new contract full of BONUSES that payout based on number of games he plays in. Of the pitchers I'd target SORIA and LIDGE early and then I love ZAMBRANO this year (especially if he slips and he should slip low) as a 27 y/o trying to prove himself, Love BEDARD, and think you can't pass on E Santana if he slips too low.
here's why (from another post I made in a different thread):
STEER CLEAR of DICE K. He's too big of a gamble if you ask me. I'm gonna steal from ESPN magazine on this one and point out that DICE K was among the LUCKIEST pitchers in the league with a .260 BABIP and there is NOWAY he can pull a repeat of that without LUCK on his side again (i wouldn't bet on it). Also his HR/FB was 6.1%
Here's the excerpt:
Over a career, pretty much every pitcher's BABIP and HRs-to-FBs ratio will come close to the league norms, but in any given season the numbers can fluctuate. Chalk it up to variation, which tends to even out over time.
Last season, the league hit .303 on balls in play (BABIP), and 10.1% of fly balls went over the fence.
The verdict, DICE K is superduper overvalued as his .BABIP against should return closer to league averages and his hr/fb should get closer to 10% (if both happen, DICE K is worthless). I'd Steer clear.