Rhydderch, to directly answer your particular issue, I'd say that he has a 50/50 chance of getting 5 starts or more at first. Maybe even a little better than that. However, its very unlikely he gets them until the middle of the season. So you've got a guy that won't play for at least half the season, with about a 50/50 chance of being able to play for you at all. Depending on bench size I think that makes him draftable/ownable, but I would definitely knock him way, way, way down your draft board. Like somewhere in the mid-teens to late round flyer type. If he's sitting out there on the FA and you have a bench spot I'd probably pick him up, especially if this is HTH where he could potentially be a huge playoff guy for you.
Also can I start a petition to get any and all burnt orange avatars banned.