Big Pimpin wrote:I love AJ and think he's going to be a stud. For this year I'd rather have Milledge, but I expect their BA to be similar, Jones to outhomer Milledge while Milledge outsteals Jones, and runs and RBIs are a crapshoot based on where they hit. If AJ hits second between BRob and Markakis, he could surprise a lot of people.
Good point well in most of my leagues I have them both.
Big Pimpin wrote:I love AJ and think he's going to be a stud. For this year I'd rather have Milledge, but I expect their BA to be similar, Jones to outhomer Milledge while Milledge outsteals Jones, and runs and RBIs are a crapshoot based on where they hit. If AJ hits second between BRob and Markakis, he could surprise a lot of people.
Good point well in most of my leagues I have them both.
I like Milledge long term but I always consider PT issues for my evaluations before a draft. Yes, Milledge is a starter, but Milledge, Dukes, Nick Johnson, Kearns, Willingham, and Wily Mo are the candidates for three spots. Milledge along with Johnson and Dukes are the winners, but you have to think that the other three would eat into some of their AB's unless trades are made or injuries happen.
Big Pimpin wrote:I love AJ and think he's going to be a stud. For this year I'd rather have Milledge, but I expect their BA to be similar, Jones to outhomer Milledge while Milledge outsteals Jones, and runs and RBIs are a crapshoot based on where they hit. If AJ hits second between BRob and Markakis, he could surprise a lot of people.
Good point well in most of my leagues I have them both.
I like Milledge long term but I always consider PT issues for my evaluations before a draft. Yes, Milledge is a starter, but Milledge, Dukes, Nick Johnson, Kearns, Willingham, and Wily Mo are the candidates for three spots. Milledge along with Johnson and Dukes are the winners, but you have to think that the other three would eat into some of their AB's unless trades are made or injuries happen.
Jones has no such concern.
you really think austin kearns and nick johnson are going to cut into lasting milledge's playing time? come on buddy, you forgot adam dunn anyway...none of them are going to cut into his pt. he's full-time
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killertofu2222
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cnote23 wrote:Good point well in most of my leagues I have them both.
I like Milledge long term but I always consider PT issues for my evaluations before a draft. Yes, Milledge is a starter, but Milledge, Dukes, Nick Johnson, Kearns, Willingham, and Wily Mo are the candidates for three spots. Milledge along with Johnson and Dukes are the winners, but you have to think that the other three would eat into some of their AB's unless trades are made or injuries happen.
Jones has no such concern.
you really think austin kearns and nick johnson are going to cut into lasting milledge's playing time? come on buddy, you forgot adam dunn anyway...none of them are going to cut into his pt. he's full-time
Yes I do. Dunn is safe at LF or 1B so I didn't include him. Milledge, Dukes, and Johnson are the obvious winners, but I can easily see Willingham cutting into someone's PT. Kearns will get some AB's as well. I may be overstating the risk and the impact, but it is something to have in the back of your mind. It would definitely lean me towards Jones.
i'm sorry but i really cannot see nick johnson taking flyballs in centerfield. i don't think the gods of the outfield will allow it. kearns is too bad to take away any pt, and willingham will split time in right if anything.
milledge is going to get 600 ab's leading off in that lineup, if he stays healthy of course.
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killertofu2222
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killertofu2222 wrote:i'm sorry but i really cannot see nick johnson taking flyballs in centerfield. i don't think the gods of the outfield will allow it. kearns is too bad to take away any pt, and willingham will split time in right if anything.
milledge is going to get 600 ab's leading off in that lineup, if he stays healthy of course.
I hope you're right for Milledge's sake. Dukes plays a decent CF though and can slide there to accommodate Willingham or Kearns. I just won't draft any Nats outfielders/first baseman other tham maybe Dunn. I think the only one that could really erupt and make me kick myself is Dukes, but he's too much of a head case to worry about.
Even if Dukes plays some CF, how many ABs would that really steal from Milledge? Even if Dukes plays 15-20 games at center, you would still see over 500 PAs from Milledge because he's leading off.
PT should be a factor for the other OFs, but not Milledge.
...Boston papers now and then suffer a sharp flurry of arithmetic on this score; indeed, for Williams to have distributed all his hits so they did nobody else any good would constitute a feat of placement unparalleled in the annals of selfishness. -Updike
You guys are drinking some serious Kool Aid if you think Milledge's playing time is guaranteed. With other viable options, if he starts off slow, he'd be riding the pine so fast. Even if he doesn't start off slow, I'm willing to bet that if the other guys are playing well, he'll sit some games.
Right now, I'd probably lean towards AJ just because he is cheaper and actually has a guaranteed job.
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