Probably the least-discussed of the 5 underrated Marlins starting pitchers; what do you expect?
He's got the pedigree as a former 6th overall pick, most scouts have still have great things to say about him. I'd wouldn't be surprised by a breakout this year, and expect him to post a line better than Volstad and Sanchez, similar to Josh Johnson. Along the lines of a 150 IP, 3.90, 1.35, 135 K, 8-9 W. Obviously I would be a bit more agressive for him in keeper leagues, as he's got plenty of upside on him as maybe a high-end #2 fantasy starter in a 12 teamer down the road.
I've got him down for similar numbers but I think his ERA will end up over 4.00 ERA. I think thats a good conservative bet, with potential to be even better. Definitely worth a late round flier IMO
I've got him behind Johnson but a few spots a head of sanchez and a number of spots ahead of volstad...
He should be better than last year as his .346 BABIP and 59.9 LOB% normalize. He's got the stuff no doubt as he keeps the ball on the ground and is a strikeout pitcher. He needs to keep the walks in check though. I've got no problem with him as a late-round flier although he's been getting bombed this spring (7.82 ERA) if it means anything.
Hal·la·day, n. 1. every fifth day in Philadelphia. 2. a day of rest for the bullpen. 3. innings eater. 4. doc. 5. ace.
smoovethug wrote:He should be better than last year as his .346 BABIP and 59.9 LOB% normalize. He's got the stuff no doubt as he keeps the ball on the ground and is a strikeout pitcher. He needs to keep the walks in check though. I've got no problem with him as a late-round flier although he's been getting bombed this spring (7.82 ERA) if it means anything.
He's taking a belting in spring training because he's working on his change-up.
Miller's spring ERA rose to 10.57. "I probably threw eight or 10 changeups, and I don't think I threw eight or 10 changeups all of last year total," he said. "Again, I don't have the best changeup in the world, but I'm going to keep working on it and keep throwing it. That's my goal this spring, to get more comfortable with it. I'm probably one of few guys who's happy to see a longer spring training this year."
Good on him, I hope he masters it
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smoovethug wrote:He should be better than last year as his .346 BABIP and 59.9 LOB% normalize. He's got the stuff no doubt as he keeps the ball on the ground and is a strikeout pitcher. He needs to keep the walks in check though. I've got no problem with him as a late-round flier although he's been getting bombed this spring (7.82 ERA) if it means anything.
He's taking a belting in spring training because he's working on his change-up.
Miller's spring ERA rose to 10.57. "I probably threw eight or 10 changeups, and I don't think I threw eight or 10 changeups all of last year total," he said. "Again, I don't have the best changeup in the world, but I'm going to keep working on it and keep throwing it. That's my goal this spring, to get more comfortable with it. I'm probably one of few guys who's happy to see a longer spring training this year."
Good on him, I hope he masters it
He is also throwing his 2-seamer again, a pitch he really hasn't thrown since college. Add to that he is altering his delivery so he doesn't throw across his body like he has in the past. So really he is working on a lot this ST. I wouldn't be surprised if he has some rough bumps in the 1st half of the season, but then settles down in the 2nd half.