Picking 4th tomorrow. Cabrera or Berkman?

[rickjamess]

I am picking 4th in a 10 team points keeper league (pts per 1B, 2B, 3B, hr, run, rbi, sb, -pts per K). We keep 4 players per team based on last years draft with 1 player per 5 rounds. My keepers are A. Ramirez (4th round this year), T. Lincecum (6th), C. Billingsley (10th), and Votto (20th). Based on the other teams keepers the following players are available for me with the 4th pick:

G. Sizemore (likely taken at #3)
M. Cabrera
C. Utley
M. Holliday
A. Rod
L. Berkman
C. Beltran
M. Ramirez

I am seriously considering Berkman out of this bunch. It is just a hunch, but if I look at our scoring system, last season Berkman scored 3300 pts and Cabrera was at 2800. I know that Berkman won't likely steal 18 bases again, but I thought Cabrera had a good year last year and he only finished as the #30 ranked hitter in our league. Who would you draft at #4 based on my league scoring system.

[doubleplay122000]

how did beltran score?? thinking off the top of my head it seems like he would score well in this league

i think the pick is between beltran and mcab myself

[aravtrain21]

I say its a no brainer to go with M. Cab. He is a beast and will put up better numbers than any other player on the board.

[RotOAddicT]

M. Cab or Beltran 4 me. Berk after the all-star break.

[rickjamess]

Beltran finished 3rd overall in points scored with 3400. I am really leaning towards cabrera now as I think he is probably the safe pick. Maybe i get lucky and sizemore is there.

[zippytrash]

using your scoring system, i would rank them:

sizemore
cabrera
utley
beltran
berkman
manny
holliday
arod

[BCGrindrod]

MCab sounds safe but I would gun for Beltran.

Please;

viewtopic.php?f=26&t=373109

[McStallen]

berkman was awful last year after the allstar break- check out his splits - people remember the hot start and the SBs, ad the overall numbers are decent, and so his second half production is almost an after-thought- i had him on a keeper team and traded him in the offseason because i'm afraid he might pick up where he left off- i advise against drafting him- let someone else overpay for him

[Ernie.Whitt.]

I would target Beltran if Sizemore is gone.