Keep Liriano, J. Upton or E. Volquez? DRAFT PICK LOSS I am in a 10 team, 3 year keeper league (year 2 of 3) where we get to keep 5 players but have to select them in the round they were taken in in year one. For instance, I drafted Hamilton in round 15 last year so I get him in the 15th round again this year. I am tearing my mind up trying to decide who to keep. Hopefully, your feedback can help.
So far I have picked the following keepers who with the round they were taken in in brackets. *Hamilton (15th) Kemp (11th) Soria (18th)
Have to decide from 2 of these four: J. Upton (16th) - he's not going any higher than 10th in most drafts but has a great chance to be a borderline stud this year and could be a top 50 pick overall next year
Liriano (12th) - is going as high as the 4th round in some drafts. Could be a top 5-10 SP in the league but is he worth sacrificing a 12th round pick for this year and next?
Edinson Volquez (25th) - Was a complete stud for the first half last season. Saw him pitch and he electric stuff. Traded for Josh Hamilton in real life they must know he is an ace in the making but his average draft position is mostly around 10-15th round. He plays in an extreme hitters park, but could easily be 200 K pitcher with 15 wins and sub 4.00 era. Would he be better value in the 25th round?
David Price (25th) - might not be called up right away but could within the first month and could have a lincecum type impact on a world series calibur team. Might be up and down this year but could be a stud next year.
*Let me know what other two you would take if you were in the same situation.
Last edited by kylep15 on Tue Mar 17, 2009 4:39 pm, edited 4 times in total.
That's tough... I think you have to keep Price - in 2010 and 2011 having Price for the 25th rd pick is going to be a huge advantage for you...
I'd also keep Liriano. Your reasoning is spot on. I have him in as a top 10 SP. Top 5 might be a bit of a stretch, but I'm not concerned about his health - his new changeup isn't hard on his arm like his slider, and even though he throws his slider less now the change makes it that much more effective. I think Gardenhire compared his change to that of Johans... Sign me up.
It's a tossup between Soria and Volquez. Theoretically the 50 best keeper options are gone in your league... That means that if you let Soria go he will probably be snatched up around the 3rd or 4th round in your league. And Volquez might too. Even though he is going in rounds 10 - 15 in most drafts, those are yearly leagues, not keeper leagues. So the fact that if you want to re-acquire either you'd have to use a similiar pick, I'd go with the value and keep Volquez and lose a mid 20 round pick instead of losing the 18th round pick. Then you can pick Soria back up in the 3rd/4th round of your draft. He won't be keepable next year but you'll be in better position in 2010 and end up with the same roster in 2009...
I would agree with some previous posters in that you have to let go of Soria. He has great stuff, but saves are easier to come across than say potentially great starters like Liriano. Upton is solid but has a lot less value now that hes no longer 2B eligible. Therefore I would go with either Liriano and either Price or Volquez. It depends on whether you want to go with what you have in Volquez, a guy who can be lights out but not as much so at home (4.03 vs 2.43) or Price, who seemingly has the ability to be a Lincecum or Liriano
I'm starting to see the letting go of soria stance, however if you think of draft value soria is being drafted in the 6-9th round range which is huge value. People have to get closers at some point and a lot take them as early as the 5th round.