San D wrote:I'll try. Werth obviously had a unusually good year last year in the power and speed departments. However, he has shown this ability in his younger years (2004 for power and 2005 for speed). He has spent a lot of time out with injuries, so one could make the argument that this could be his age 27 development year. He has managed to keep a good OBP and OK power versus righties the last couple of years so the manager said he won't sit more than 15 or so games this year. He has good pedigree as a first rounder and might even have better skills than a similar 6-5" player being drafted ahead of him (Corey Hart). I could see an upside of 30-30 with the increased PT and no injuries.
Ok but staying health is a skill and he hasn't been very good at it. Chances are, his body will breakdown more as he gets older.
What are the chances of him riding the pine if he doesn't perform well?
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin