J35J wrote:Whether a guy is projected to get 38 or 43 saves doesn't really matter to me. Saves are almost as fickle to project as wins are, IMHO. I want the better pitcher as long as the number of saves will be close. Mo has had a sub 2 ERA and a sub 1 WHIP 3 of the last 4 years while also maintaining better than 9K/9.
Valverde doesn't have a big advantage in K's...if one at all. He also has never had a sub 2 ERA or a sub 1 WHIP. In fact he's only been sub 3 ERA 2 of the last 4 years. I'll take the consistancy that Mo has across all relevant categories, over the chance that Valverde puts up 45 saves again.
You want to talk about fickle stats then you should be talking about WHIP & ERA for closers...one bad outing can see there numbers inflated big time. Valverde had a couple horrible outing last year but those don't bother me much.
For my closer I want a guy that gets saves and the opportunites
and K's... Valverde has only 6 less opps yet MO pitched in 55 more games...that should tell you something right there.
And Valverde has a much better K/9 than Mo does, I pointed that out a few posts up, it's almost 2 more per 9 which is huge for a closer.
In case you missed it...
Let's take a further look at MO
over his last 3 years, which have been anything but fantastic.
194 GP, 103 -111 SVO (93%), 217 IP, 2.12 ERA and 206 K's which equates to 8.5Ks/9IPValverde
L2 seasons when he took on a FT closer role...
139 GP, 91-105 (87%), 136.1 IP, 3.03 ERA and 161 K's which equates to 10.6Ks/9IP