I don't think Hamilton will run that much. His body takes a lot of toll in CF and he has some big bats behind him. I'd say 15 would be tops.
Hamilton also started to get pitched around a ton especially in the second half. Teams caught on that he was really good or something.
The only things I know for sure is:
1. He screwed up his swing big time during the HR derby. It took him some time to straighten that back out. He finally did as his 34 hits and .366 average in September testify, although his power was still affected.
2. Once Kinsler got hurt, his RBIs suffered tremendously.
3. Once Bradley started to succumb to injuries in the second half, he really didn't have any protection. I think he should have more protection this year with hopefully a healthy Blalock and/or improved C.Davis and N.Cruz.
4. They say he has decent wheels. Maybe that only translates to 15 steals. I don't know. But every bit helps. And makes it harder to distinguish between Hamilton and Braun.
And let me just say that I had both of these guys last year. It really is painful to have to choose between them this year.