Pitching - HOLDS help

[rails80]

I'm in a 20 team league that counts holds. With holds being a "made-up" category, I'm having a tough time placing fair value on MR and setup men. It seems that of the top 10 in HLDS last year, 7 had an ERA above 3.50...as you go on down the list, you start to see some ERA's that are 5.00+...some of these guys pitched 70+ IP, but at quick glance it looks like the average is about 50 IP ...

So in a 6x6 H2H league, how important will this stat be? Can anyone post a list of guys I should target late in the draft?

20 team DYNASTY, 6x6 H2H (OPS/HLD)
25 round draft MLB in progress
15 round prospect draft not yet started

C
1B - Derek Lee, 1B - CHI (7:121)
2B - Brian Roberts, 2B-BAL (3:41)
3B - Chipper Jones, 3B - ATL (4:80)
SS - Hanley Ramirez, SS-FLA (1:1)
LF - Jason Bay, LF-BOS (2:40)
CF
RF - Brady Hawpe, RF-COL (6:120)
Util
Util

SP - James Shields, SP-TB (5:81)
SP
RP
RP
P
P
P

BN
BN
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BN

[ayebatter]

Just shoot for guys that are next in line to close, then work the waiver wire once the season starts, it seems that holds move around from yr to yr so you never know who's gonna get 'em for sure 'till they start playing.

[Tenacious D-Store]

Take a late round shot on Jesse Carlson. Solid stats with a non-existent WHIP and picked up quite a few wins last season