RotoCowboy wrote:I think Ellsbury and the Red Sox would be thrilled if he finished with an avg only 20 points behind Maggs.
I would imagine Ellsbury and the Red Sox are expecting at least a 290 AVG with a shot at 300. I have him projected at 293 along with Magglio at 308...
Well Ellsbury might get to .293, but if you think the Sox wouldn't be thrilled with that, you are nuts. He batted .280 in his first full season, and if he repeats that, with a better OBP, the Sox will be satisfied.
And Maggs is a career .312 hitter coming off a .317 season (.330 after the all-star break) and a .363 season the year before. He just turned 34 so he is not old at all. So I think .308 is pretty pessimistic. Either way, I'd stand by the Sox being pretty happy if Ellsbury batted .288. He is a risk. And I think .293 is doable, but certainly .320 (or more) is doable for Maggs, so 20 points apart is conservative in my view.