Shields. Honestly, he is the one guy on the Rays team that I don't think they could afford to lose. The Rays played without Longo, BJ, CC, Kaz, Bartlett, and Pena last year and were fine. Shields goes out every time and gives you at least 6-7 innings of good baseball and keeps you in the game. For fantasy purposes he keeps his whip down, era pretty solid, good number of K's and usually leaves a game with a shot at the win. He is the best pitcher on the staff right now, but doesn't have the upside that Price does. Price will be good this season, but he will still have some ups and downs. For me it is Shields.