BA will be coming out w its Top 100 Prospects this week (Thursday, I think). I think it's fun to predict what it will look like. I've compiled a projected BA Top 100 based on their League Top 20's, Team Top 10's and what I've heard people like Jim Callis and John Manuel say in online chats and podcasts. Every organization has at least 1 guy on the list, even Houston. TExas has 9, which would be the most I can remember from any organization ever. Also, Oakland has 8.
1 David Price SP TB 2 Matt Wieters C Bal 3 Madison Bumgarner SP SF 4 Colby Rasmus OF StL 5 Buster Posey C SF 6 Pedro Alvarez 3B Pit 7 Neftali Feliz SP Tex 8 Tommy Hanson SP Atl 9 Travis Snider OF Tor 10 Jason Heyward OF Atl 11 Rick Porcello SP Det 12 Cameron Maybin OF Fla 13 Tim Beckham SS TB 14 Brett Anderson SP Oak 15 Trevor Cahill SP Oak 16 Dexter Fowler OF Col 17 Mike Moustakas 3B KC 18 Eric Hosmer 1B KC 19 Matt LaPorta OF Cle 20 Jarrod Parker SP Ari 21 Lars Anderson 1B Bos 22 Justin Smoak 1B Tex 23 Brett Wallace 3B StL 24 Andrew McCutchen OF Pit 25 Carlos Santana C Cle 26 Brian Matusz SP Bal 27 Logan Morrison 1B Fla 28 Mike Stanton OF Fla 29 Fernando Martinez OF NYM 30 Josh Vitters 3B CHC 31 Gordon Beckham SS CHW 32 Michael Bowden SP Bos 33 Derek Holland SP Tex 34 Chris Tillman SP Bal 35 Yonder Alonso 1B Cin 36 Angel Villalona 1B SF 37 Aaron Hicks OF Min 38 Elvis Andrus SS Tex 39 Alcides Escobar SS Mil 40 Matt Gamel 3B Mil 41 Wade Davis SP TB 42 Tim Alderson SP SF 43 Jordan Schafer OF Atl 44 Jesus Montero C NYY 45 Jhoulys Chacin SP Col 46 Jordan Zimmerman SP Was 47 Michael Inoa SP Oak 48 Greg Halman OF Sea 49 Michael Saunders OF Sea 50 Austin Jackson OF NYY 51 Ben Revere OF Min 52 Nick Adenhart SP LAA 53 Jake Arrieta SP Bal 54 Matt Dominguez 3B Fla 55 Reid Brignac SS TB 56 Carlos Carrasco SP Phi 57 Daniel Cortes SP KC 58 Carlos Triunfel SS Sea 59 Brett Cecil SP Tor 60 Jose Tabata OF Pit 61 Desmond Jennings OF TB 62 Wilmer Flores SS NYM 63 Freddie Freeman 1B Atl 64 Kyle Blanks 1B SD 65 Sean West SP Fla 66 Taylor Teagarden C Tex 67 J.P. Arencibia C Tor 68 Dayan Viciedo 3B CHW 69 Adrian Cardenas SS Oak 70 Chris Carter 1B Oak 71 Kyle Skipworth C Fla 72 Gorkys Hernandez OF Atl 73 Dominic Brown OF Phi 74 Jeremy Jeffress SP Mil 75 Phillippe Aumont SP Sea 76 Martin Perez SP Tex 77 Brett Lawrie C Mil 78 Andrew Lambo OF LAD 79 Chris Perez RP StL 80 Engel Beltre OF Tex 81 Gio Gonzalez SP Oak 82 Chris Marrero 1B Was 83 Nick Weglarz OF Cle 84 Aaron Cunningham OF Oak 85 Jordan Walden SP LAA 86 James McDonald SP LAD 87 Michael Main SP Tex 88 Adam Miller SP/RP Cle 89 Julio Borbon OF Tex 90 Andrew Brackman SP NYY 91 Nick Hagadone SP/RP Bos 92 Daniel Bard SP/RP Bos 93 Jason Castro C Hou 94 Mike Montgomery SP KC 95 Matthew Moore SP TB 96 Tim Melville SP KC 97 Jeff Samardzija SP/RP CHC 98 Vince Mazzaro SP Oak 99 Jake McGee SP/RP TB 100 Mike Burgess OF Was HM Josh Reddick OF Bos HM Drew Stubbs OF Cin HM David Huff SP Cle HM Aaron Poreda SP CHW HM Jeremy Hellickson SP TB HM Matt Latos SP SD HM Ryan Tucker RP Fla HM Ross Detwiler SP Was HM Jess Todd SP/RP StL HM Ethan Martin SP LAD
We'll see how close I was in a couple days. Last year, I did pretty well. Only 10 guys or so were on their list that I didnt have either in my Top 100 or honorable mentions.
3 of the personal top 50's (Callis, Lingo and Manuel) are published in the BA prospect handbook. Not sure who else if anyone has input in the top 100 list, but here are a few things that I noticed
Alcides Escobar will be much higher than anyone expects. He ranked #5 , #20, and #27. Stanton will be around #15 Morrison up a little - 13, 14, and 20 McCutchen ranked 34, 40 and 50+ A bigger drop than I expected LaPorta ranked 20, 26 and 27 A little lower than I expected, but you captured it Dominic Brown ranked 40-50 for all 3 guys Jason Castro made 2 of the top 50's
I'm sure there are some more surprises but those are the ones that jumped out to me.
kab21 wrote:3 of the personal top 50's (Callis, Lingo and Manuel) are published in the BA prospect handbook. Not sure who else if anyone has input in the top 100 list, but here are a few things that I noticed
Alcides Escobar will be much higher than anyone expects. He ranked #5 , #20, and #27. Stanton will be around #15 Morrison up a little - 13, 14, and 20 McCutchen ranked 34, 40 and 50+ A bigger drop than I expected LaPorta ranked 20, 26 and 27 A little lower than I expected, but you captured it Dominic Brown ranked 40-50 for all 3 guys Jason Castro made 2 of the top 50's
I'm sure there are some more surprises but those are the ones that jumped out to me.
Thanx for the response, kab21.
The items you listed surprise me a bit, too. I knew they were high on Escobar, but I didnt think quite that high. I guess he's this year's Elvis Andrus. There are mixed opinions on Stanton, so I'm surprised he's that high. McCutchen's drop is surprising since Manuel ranked him #9 on his mid-season list and he had a solid, if unspectacular, year. Brown has been surprising all along. He was a surprise #1 selection, and that indicated he'd probably be in the Top 100 somewhere. I didnt think he'd be that high. Castro was another that I figured would be in the Top 100 somewhere, but he was #1 in a very bad system, so I thought he'd be towards the back end.
Since I posted this, I've already found out (from Callis chat yesterday) that 2 of the guys I included didnt make the Top 100. Beltre just missed at #101 and he said that only 7 Texas guys made the list, which probably means that either Borbon or Main didnt make it either.
I also don't understand the big drop on McCutchen. Everyone complains about his power not developing, but he had tons of walks with a .372 OBP with some power with plus defense. I'm not sure if they looked and instead compared him with Maybin, Fowler and Rasmus and said that we can't have this many toolsy CF'ers in the top 20. I don't know.
Dominic Brown has been a good find that wasn't on my radar a month ago. Both BA and BP have had good reports on him and he's got some good numbers. Strangely his numbers look very similar to McCutchen's (power, K's, BB's, SB's) and he did it in A ball while McCutchen did it in AAA and is only a year older. Yet there will only be about 10 spots seperating the two in the rankings.
I'm not quite sold on Jason Castro yet (maybe top 100 for me). Arenciba made all 3 lists and I'm not sold on him with his low walk rate. Montero also made all 3 lists and I haven't decided yet on him as a top 50 guy.
Solar wrote:Do we know when the list is due to come out? I'm getting anxious to check it out...
IN yesterday's chat, Callis said that it would be out next week. Previously, he had indicated it would be out today or thereabouts. That's why I posted my list on Tuesday, so it would precede the actual list by a couple days.
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by rhd » Wed Feb 18, 2009 12:40 am 
, #20, and #27.
