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Great Article on Prospect Valuation

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Great Article on Prospect Valuation

Postby Niffoc4 » Mon Feb 16, 2009 11:29 am

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/artic ... vid-price/
This is an article by Victor Wang that compares matt wieters and David Price's chances of being great (which are good for both), but the really interesting part is what he has to say about valuing prospects in general. Basically he claims that top flight hitting prospects are more likely to succeed than top pitching prospects (which is something many of us already believe), but he claims that only applies to the top tier (no further than top 100).
I think this makes sense, and is something i try to do with prospects. I value hitting prospects more, and worry more about results with pitchers. What do you guys think?
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Re: Great Article on Prospect Valuation

Postby SignGuy » Mon Feb 16, 2009 1:29 pm

I agree that there is more risk with pitchers succeeding, but for fantasy purposes I tend to draft pitching prospects more because they are likelier to dominate right out of the gate. In the long term however i definitely give the edge to position prospects.
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