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Aggregate (CBS, Chone, ESPN, Marcel) 2009 Projections

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Aggregate (CBS, Chone, ESPN, Marcel) 2009 Projections

Postby Curtis Pride » Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:43 pm

Updated 2-17

Here's the link. http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key= ... IAIPb9f9Pw

These are not my projections. I'm a schmoe. Nobody cares what my projections are. I have, however, averaged the projections for the major respected MLB projections for 2009. These include: CBS, ESPN, Chone, Marcels, Pecota, Oliver). Really, the only two that aren't included are Bill James (always too optimistic) and ZIPS (which isn't finished yet.) Given that there are already 6 data sources, I likely won't updated it when ZIPS gets updated.

They are sorted by position and loosely based on value (with a bias towards OPS vs. BA). It's a calculated ranking ONLY - I wouldn't use the rankings as gospel, but it's got all the players and averaged projections. These should be very fine for you to use as a basis, and then amend as you see fit.

I use these for my own rankings, and figured I'd just post the base onto Google docs for those who haven't started their projections.
Last edited by Curtis Pride on Tue Feb 17, 2009 11:34 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: More projections

Postby Broncmet724 » Sat Feb 14, 2009 11:33 pm

I generally do something like this, but haven't had the time with work and life this year. Thanks
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Re: More projections

Postby evilempire2 » Sun Feb 15, 2009 1:52 am

wow that must have taken quite a bit of time
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Re: More projections

Postby rookies and cream » Sun Feb 15, 2009 10:18 am

How many sources did you use total?
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Re: More projections

Postby Maris09 » Sun Feb 15, 2009 1:49 pm

Nice work. Thanks.
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Re: More projections

Postby Curtis Pride » Mon Feb 16, 2009 2:46 pm

It really didn't take that long. It's just a matter of dumping in various projections and running a simple averageif excel function. The only work is making sure that the projection columns are in the same order, and the player name is listed the same way.

From there, it's just dumping in the raw data into the google documents.

I forget the exact sources I used, but it was CBS, ESPN, Chone, Oliver, Marcels (minus the players with under 67% reliability since Tango says basically ignore his projections for players with under 2 years experience - I didn't want Marcels' penchant for under estimating playing time for those players to artificially drag down their aggregate projections), and one other source which I can't remember.

If other people have other (respected) respected sites for projections, I can incorporate them. I just don't want joe schmoe's random rankings included. I'm a fan of the "wisdom of crowds", but I'd rather have a pretty wise crowd to start from.

I may be updating this in a few days with the Pecota projections
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Re: More projections

Postby mulkowsky » Tue Feb 17, 2009 8:16 pm

Thanks! Great stuff! I used this in my league last year and it really helped.

For the next iteration, could you add a column for the "TEAM". Would be useful for those of us in AL/NL only.

Thanks!
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Re: More projections

Postby auclairkeithbc » Tue Feb 17, 2009 8:41 pm

ZIPS whenever they are complete.
i'm the guy that puts the "nip" in omnipotent...
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Re: Aggregate (CBS, Chone, ESPN, Marcel) 2009 Projections

Postby Curtis Pride » Wed Feb 18, 2009 12:17 am

updated
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Re: Aggregate (CBS, Chone, ESPN, Marcel) 2009 Projections

Postby rookies and cream » Wed Feb 18, 2009 12:19 am

Curtis Pride wrote:updated


Great job! Very helpful.
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