Dunn is 28, Abreu is 34. If I'm picking one to decline it is Abreu and Dunn has been better the last two years anyway. Dunn is butcher on defense but Abreu is awful too.
The thing people are overlooking is that players like Dunn with old skills do not age well. His decline won't be gradual but very sharp and will probably come a lot sooner than people expect.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
Yoda wrote:The thing people are overlooking is that players like Dunn with old skills do not age well. His decline won't be gradual but very sharp and will probably come a lot sooner than people expect.
Hence the two year deal? Two years seems very short for someone his age.
I ain't askin' nobody for nothin, If I can't get it on my own. - Charlie Daniels
Yoda wrote:The thing people are overlooking is that players like Dunn with old skills do not age well. His decline won't be gradual but very sharp and will probably come a lot sooner than people expect.
Hence the two year deal? Two years seems very short for someone his age.
Right. I'd still rather have Abreu at 5 mil but it's probably just me.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
You can point to Travis Hafner (shoulder injury) and Mo Vaughn (weight) who were both elite into their early 30s.
I can point to people like Thome, Giambi, and Delgado who hit their peaks in their early 30s, and are still extremely productive into their late 30s (and you can point to steroids as the explanation)
I hear this a lot that people with "old person skills" (which I guess means power and taking a walk), don't age well, but Dunn is 28, and there is absolutely no indication that he should be any worse than he has been.
Depending on the park (and playing time with their glut of outfielders) he may not be as valuable from a fantasy perspective, but I don't see much indication to think his skills will erode at all in the next 2-4 years.
Dunn is better than Abreu right now - and has been for the last two years. Dunn is still in his prime, while it's clear that Abreu is on the decline. They both stink defensively (though Dunn is worse), but Dunn will likely log more time at 1B now than OF, so that should reduce some of the draft on his value.
Curtis Pride wrote:Dunn is better than Abreu right now - and has been for the last two years. Dunn is still in his prime, while it's clear that Abreu is on the decline. They both stink defensively (though Dunn is worse), but Dunn will likely log more time at 1B now than OF, so that should reduce some of the draft on his value.
I'm just trying to figure out how Dunn is better and has been over the past two years.
And Dunn is atrocious at 1B as well, so don't think he won't hurt the team defensively there too. I'd rather have Abreu at $5M (or even $8M) for one year than Dunn on this deal. But I wouldn't want either unless they were willing to DH.
You can point to Travis Hafner (shoulder injury) and Mo Vaughn (weight) who were both elite into their early 30s.
I can point to people like Thome, Giambi, and Delgado who hit their peaks in their early 30s, and are still extremely productive into their late 30s (and you can point to steroids as the explanation)
I hear this a lot that people with "old person skills" (which I guess means power and taking a walk), don't age well, but Dunn is 28, and there is absolutely no indication that he should be any worse than he has been.
Depending on the park (and playing time with their glut of outfielders) he may not be as valuable from a fantasy perspective, but I don't see much indication to think his skills will erode at all in the next 2-4 years.
Dunn is better than Abreu right now - and has been for the last two years. Dunn is still in his prime, while it's clear that Abreu is on the decline. They both stink defensively (though Dunn is worse), but Dunn will likely log more time at 1B now than OF, so that should reduce some of the draft on his value.
Sexson is another one. Dunn is 29 BTW.
It's completely up for debate who is better between Dunn/Abreu. Me, I'd much rather have Abreu for 1 yr at 5 Mil.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin