FBC Community Top 20 OF - #3: Josh Hamilton

[Dan Charette]

I picked Holliday . Sure he's now going to a much worse hitter's park, but he'll also be facing much worse pitching. If you compare the pitchers from the NL west to the AL west . you'll see quite a difference in the amount of quality starters. That's got to count for something.
And since he has real good power , I don't think his homeruns will drop below 25. Oakland's outfield is called spacious , so it shouldn't affect batting average .
He's too good of a hitter to drop too much.

[pokerplaya]

I waffled between Hamilton, Holliday and Beltran. Ultimately, the hometown bias probably swayed me, and I went with Beltran.

[hybrid]

650AB - 97R - 22HR - 88RBI - .280/.348/.455

That's away from Coors, I'd be wary of top 3 OF production.

[Yoda]

I went with Hamilton since he should be right around his peak and just getting warmed up in his 3rd MLB season.

Holliday's numbers in OAK will be depressed. He is an outstanding hitter so I don't expect a huge drop but still should see some regression.

Beltran and Soriano are slightly higher injury risks. Also, they are at the age when players stop running as much.

[Nerfherders]

I went with Holliday, despite the change of scenery. I am a very conservative drafter and tend to go with the known quantities. Hamilton is an unknown quantity still, in my eyes.

But generally looking over the outfielders at this point in baseball - its a pretty weak group. There is not a single outfielder in this group that you can say is going to put up 110/40/120/10/.300, and its been a long time since one could say that. The power has definitely shifted to the infield positions. In fact, I don't know that I would take any outfielder in the first round.

[Snakes Gould]

I went with Holliday, despite the change of scenery. I am a very conservative drafter and tend to go with the known quantities. Hamilton is an unknown quantity still, in my eyes.

you dont think leaving colorado is going to change his "known" stats? if you are conservative, i think holliday is the riskiest of the picks

[Neato Torpedo]

I went with Holliday, despite the change of scenery. I am a very conservative drafter and tend to go with the known quantities. Hamilton is an unknown quantity still, in my eyes.

But generally looking over the outfielders at this point in baseball - its a pretty weak group. There is not a single outfielder in this group that you can say is going to put up 110/40/120/10/.300, and its been a long time since one could say that. The power has definitely shifted to the infield positions. In fact, I don't know that I would take any outfielder in the first round.

Braun and Quentin could both put those numbers up, or at least get close.

[The Artful Dodger]

I went with Holliday, despite the change of scenery. I am a very conservative drafter and tend to go with the known quantities. Hamilton is an unknown quantity still, in my eyes.

But generally looking over the outfielders at this point in baseball - its a pretty weak group. There is not a single outfielder in this group that you can say is going to put up 110/40/120/10/.300, and its been a long time since one could say that. The power has definitely shifted to the infield positions. In fact, I don't know that I would take any outfielder in the first round.

Braun and Quentin could both put those numbers up, or at least get close.

Hamilton could too if he's close to fully healthy or at full health the whole season.

I don't think Holliday is a massive risk as some make him out to be, but his upside more or less is tempered either way. I can see Holliday topping out at a 30 HR, 15 SB, .310 BA but I don't envision anything beyond that.

[jlm53089]

Hamilton.
Holliday is right after him though.
I would just like it if Holliday could prove that he can play outside the NL West and Colorado.

[WaCougMBS]

I went Hamilton here, and while I certainly don't disagee with some of the trepidation, I still think he is a less risky pick (by a hair) than Holliday is in his new home