RAmst23 wrote:I'm going Braun here, my only concern with Grady is the average hurting you. 600 ABs of .268 avg hurts, and won't have a monster RBI total. With Braun you have double digit SBs thrown in and a possible 40 HRs.
Meh. Sizemore draws more than enough walks to improve that batting average in the future. Braun, meanwhile, doesn't draw enough walks to make me believe his average will hold at the level that it does. I'd bet Sizemore hits for a higher average than Braun does this year.
RAmst23 wrote:I'm going Braun here, my only concern with Grady is the average hurting you. 600 ABs of .268 avg hurts, and won't have a monster RBI total. With Braun you have double digit SBs thrown in and a possible 40 HRs.
if you consider .268 a baseline after he batted .289 .290 .277 in the three years prior. He'll bring it back up to the .275-.280 level. With sizemore you have close to a 30-40 season.
RAmst23 wrote:I'm going Braun here, my only concern with Grady is the average hurting you. 600 ABs of .268 avg hurts, and won't have a monster RBI total. With Braun you have double digit SBs thrown in and a possible 40 HRs.
Meh. Sizemore draws more than enough walks to improve that batting average in the future. Braun, meanwhile, doesn't draw enough walks to make me believe his average will hold at the level that it does. I'd bet Sizemore hits for a higher average than Braun does this year.
Sizemore was a bit unlucky with his average dipping as it did, but a near 10 HR spike from the previous year more than makes up for it.
....and since they are up there I wouldn't be suprised if Manny, BJ, Quentin or Lee were at the top either. I don't personally think there is anyone head and shoulders above anyone else. This is why I like the middle to late pick since you can grab 2 of these guys easily.
I went with Braun although it is very close. I can see Braun going for 40/100/15/.290 while I believe that the power numbers Grady put up last year are his peak and I can see him hitting around .275.
Hal·la·day, n. 1. every fifth day in Philadelphia. 2. a day of rest for the bullpen. 3. innings eater. 4. doc. 5. ace.
RAmst23 wrote:I'm going Braun here, my only concern with Grady is the average hurting you. 600 ABs of .268 avg hurts, and won't have a monster RBI total. With Braun you have double digit SBs thrown in and a possible 40 HRs.
if you consider .268 a baseline after he batted .289 .290 .277 in the three years prior. He'll bring it back up to the .275-.280 level. With sizemore you have close to a 30-40 season.
Couple responses to my post, so I went with this one. You're right, Grady's avg. may go up, and probably will, but I think Braun's will increase to a higher degree. Last year he had an awful September (.208), as he progresses I don't think his slumps will be quite so low (I couldn't remember if he was dealing with an injury at this time as well).
I'm by no means saying Grady is a bad pick, just I have Braun a bit higher. My projection on Braun is .290 - .300 41 105 120 15. Grady will have more Rs and SBs, higher HRs AVG and RBIs for Braun.
...Boston papers now and then suffer a sharp flurry of arithmetic on this score; indeed, for Williams to have distributed all his hits so they did nobody else any good would constitute a feat of placement unparalleled in the annals of selfishness. -Updike
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