well since i voted hamels for the #3 thread i voted for him again as the number 4 best pitcher. i described most of my reasons why i voted hamels in the other thread, so just to add onto that...hamels is still developing. he is only 25 and already among the elite. where as webb is 29 or 30 and is pretty much done developing so he is what he is. he will have a very low 3.00 ERA but not much lower than that and the k's just aren't there for me to believe that he should be in the top 5. peavy is an excellent choice but if he is traded midseason or in the beginning he will not be a top 10 pitcher. his home/away splits are rediculus and will struggle tremendously if he is traded, only way he will remain a top 5 pitcher when traded is if he is traded to the dodgers.
i really think haren and billingsley are the wild cards here. haren has been terrible in the second half the past 3 years but his skills and k's have improved as well over the last 3 years which leads an intelligent fan to believe there is still a lot of room for improvement and growth. bills, IMO, will establish himself as a top 5 pitcher after this season. he still has some control issues and a bit of an inflated WHIP at 1.3 but his low ERA and k's are there. i believe he will take another step forward this year and have an ERA under 3.00 with over 210+ K's. only thing that will hold him back from top 3 pitcher is high 1.2 WHIP.
Curtis Pride wrote:While drafting for wins is a mistake for the most part, does anyone think Peavy will win even 13 games this year? The Padres may not win 50 games all year.
I actually think it's more of a blessing if Peavy stays a Padre. His home ERA/WHIP are quite pristine and pitching against NL West competition also boosts the rationale to take Peavy. Of course, he had gotten perhaps the worst run support in the Majors but I also think their bullpen is sturdy enough to hold leads if necessary. I still voted for Hamels, BTW.
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