Well, who needs a closer? The Cardinals, the Brewers, the Dodgers (agreed on Broxton, though), the Tigers, the Padres, the Rangers and the Braves. Who's left on the closer market? Hoffman, Brandon Lyon and Jason Isringhausen? I mean, there are other guys with experience, but those are the only three who have experienced any success in recent years.
The funny thing about Hoffman is that if you look at his splits last year, he was better at home in terms of BAA (.207/.254) and WHIP (0.94/1.21), but his ERA was wildly inflated at PETCO (4.25/2.87) thanks in large part to giving up HR at a much higher rate at home than on the road (2.12/0.57 HR/9). The sample size was pretty low, but when has a pitcher ever given up excessive home runs at PETCO?
Bill James' projos have Hoffman at 3.00 ERA with 42 saves, whereas Marcel has him at a 3.74 ERA and 24 saves.
Long story short, he will start the season as someone's closer. I'd guess Hoffman will land with the Brewers, Dodgers or Cardinals. He's known to have a West Coast bias, so the Dodgers are probably the safe bet. Both NL Central teams seem like fine fits, provided they can fork out the cash. No matter where he lands, he should be a lock for 30+ saves and a sub-4.00 ERA, so he would be a fine closer pick.
Is there anything fluffier than a cloud?
If there is, I don't want to know about it.