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Pat the Ray

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Re: Pat the Ray

Postby knapplc » Tue Jan 06, 2009 3:55 pm

Psst! It was a joke. Don't take that seriously. ;-)

Sorry for not being more clear on that. :-°
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Re: Pat the Ray

Postby GotowarMissAgnes » Tue Jan 06, 2009 4:43 pm

AquaMan2342 wrote:Your points are valid but what you said is all that I was trying to say: their offense will be better. Swisher is definitely a hole defensively, but he too had what seemed to be a pretty unlucky year hitting the ball. Nady is underrated IMO still also.

The thing about TB is that they had a pretty good year offensively with arguably their two best offensive players (Crawford, Upton) having down years overall. That's kinda scary.


Right, I don't disagree that I think there offense will be better, though I think that improvement is highly contingent on at least 2 of the 4 older guys staying healthy, especially Jeter and Posada. I was arguing mostly against the idea that it was likely to be the best in the AL.

I guess Nady depends on who is doing the rating. No way is he as good as he played with the Pirates last year. What he gave the Yanks is about what you can expect, performance a little above average. That will probably be less than what the Yanks got from Damon and Abreu in the corners last year.

And I agree with TB. A lot of young guys and none of whome really over-performed last year. They could easily take a big leap forward.
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Re: Pat the Ray

Postby mariposaskyman » Tue Jan 06, 2009 4:56 pm

Pat will definitely help the Rays offense. Hated to see him leave Philly. I know he's inconsistent, but they'll get great stretches where he'll carry the team for a bit, followed by times when he looks lost. He'll get on base most times throughout the year, too, even when he's not hitting. This is a good sign; enough to stay ahead of the Yanks. Boy, that's going to be hard. But, you know, I'm still not sure I wouldn't rather have TB pitching than NY. Sabathia's great, but whoa, I think Burnett is Pavano is waiting.
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Re: Pat the Ray

Postby Neato Torpedo » Tue Jan 06, 2009 5:10 pm

BronXBombers51 wrote:
knapplc wrote:
raiders_umpire wrote:


It was last year as well.

And that's why the Yanks beat the Ray's like a drum and dominated in the playoffs.

Oh. Wait. !+)


Tampa had the 3rd best ERA in baseball last year. New York was 15th. That was the major reason why Tampa won 97 games and the division last year. That's why the Yankees spent almost $250 million on two top starters this winter. Whether it closes the gap or not remains to be seen.

I hate to bring it up again, but I think defense was an overlooked major reason TB did well, and the ERA isn't just from good pitching. Sure, the Yanks added pitching but did nothing to shore up the defense except replacing Giambi with Teixeira.
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Re: Pat the Ray

Postby GotowarMissAgnes » Tue Jan 06, 2009 5:11 pm

BronXBombers51 wrote:

Just curious GTWMA, could you do the same type of analysis for Boston? Ortiz and Lowell are both aging, they don't have a catcher and it seems questionable that Pedroia can repeat last year's numbers. I'm not saying they aren't strong, I'm just wondering what your take on their lineup is.


I can try.

C; improvement. Varitek was awful. If they re-sign him, he'll either rebound, platoon, or be replaced. Both the current replacements (Bard and Kottaras) project to be better than 'tek was last year.
1B: decline. Monster year for Youk last year and hard to see him matching or topping that.
2B: no change. He's young enough to continue improving, but it wouldn't be surprising to see him plateau a bit. I wouldn't count on a significant decline.
ss: Improvement? Not sure what the plans are here. If Lowrie can field the position, they should get an improvement in offense. If not, then I don't know what their plans are.
3B: Improve? Depends on either Lowell recovering or backup plan (Carter/Bailey/Anderson?) at 1B with Youk swapping corners?
LF: No change. Bay should match what Manny gave.
CF: Improve? Ellsbury should rebound and top what he and Crisp gave
RF: Decline. Drew could be healthier, but in rate terms last year was his best since 2005. You might get more ABs from him, but lower rate stats
DH: Improvement? If Ortiz is healthier.

Overall, I'd guess not mcuh change. I see two likely declines, 1 likely improvement, then 4 real ?. I think they are a little better off on that than the Yanks, just because the guys they are hoping will stay healthier are 1-3 years younger than the guys the Yanks are hoping to keep healthy. It's hard to say because the back up plans in Boston are even less certain than NY. Replacement level Yankees blog ran the numbers and came up with Boston at 882 runs, Yanks at 865. Sounds a little high to me for both, but both teams have the $ to fill gaps better than the replacements I'm looking on their roster now.

So, overa
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Re: Pat the Ray

Postby raiders_umpire » Tue Jan 06, 2009 7:19 pm

Yoda wrote:
All I said was that the Yanks have a better offense



All I said was that the Yanks had a better offense last year as well. ;-D
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