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Crede to San Fran?

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Re: Crede to San Fran?

Postby GotowarMissAgnes » Sat Jan 03, 2009 11:51 am

San D wrote:
GotowarMissAgnes wrote: Don't forget that AL hitters switching to the NL tend to get a bump in performance, too.


Interesting. I've never heard that. I can see pitchers doing better going from the AL to the NL due to the pitchers parks and the lack of DH rule.



Derek Carty had an article on this on Hardball Times, but unfortunately, does not translate his results into fantasy terms

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/fanta ... r-hitters/

An earlier study on both pitchers and hitters, also in sabr rather than fantasy terms, was by Mitchell Lichtman

http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.p ... ng_or_bot/

You have to be careful with the fantasy analysis, because the move to the NL will hurt the team dependent stats like runs and rbis, because of the pitcher batting in the NL, and you'd want to consider things like park adjustments (both home and road). But, overall, you should expect a hitter moving from AL to NL to improve his rate stats and HRs.
"I don't want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to chase it."
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Re: Crede to San Fran?

Postby San D » Sat Jan 03, 2009 2:41 pm

GotowarMissAgnes wrote:
San D wrote:
GotowarMissAgnes wrote: Don't forget that AL hitters switching to the NL tend to get a bump in performance, too.


Interesting. I've never heard that. I can see pitchers doing better going from the AL to the NL due to the pitchers parks and the lack of DH rule.



Derek Carty had an article on this on Hardball Times, but unfortunately, does not translate his results into fantasy terms

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/fanta ... r-hitters/

An earlier study on both pitchers and hitters, also in sabr rather than fantasy terms, was by Mitchell Lichtman

http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.p ... ng_or_bot/

You have to be careful with the fantasy analysis, because the move to the NL will hurt the team dependent stats like runs and rbis, because of the pitcher batting in the NL, and you'd want to consider things like park adjustments (both home and road). But, overall, you should expect a hitter moving from AL to NL to improve his rate stats and HRs.


Thank you. ;-D
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