AquaMan2342 wrote:At the price Hanley is signed for, trading him would be absolutely stupid and that might be an understatement. I don't care what prospects they get back.
I don't really agree. Consider that Hanley produced about $32M in "value" last year (what he was worth [$32.7M] vs. what he was paid [$0.4M]), while Ellsbury produced about $15M ($15.7M vs. $0.4M).
Now, once we start looking at the future, the two get closer and closer. For instance, the defensive metrics actually grade Hanley close to average last year, while in years past he's been rated pretty dreadfully. So, if we use all 3 years of data to rate him defensively, knock about $4M from Hanley's "value". Ellsbury will be playing full-time in CF, which actually would increase his value from last year since he spent over half of his innings in the corners.
Also consider the contracts. Hanley's contract is going to be up $5M from last year while Ellsbury will still be at the minimum. Offensively, Hanley is tremendous, and we won't consider any regression. Ellsbury on the other hand, was barely above average last year and based on his minor league track record he certainly stands to get a bit better. Even with a little improvement you're talking another offensive win and their values coming another $4.5M closer.
This isn't to say Hanley isn't a great player signed to a great contract, as he most certainly is. Perhaps even more valuable if he was in CF. But I think Boston actually loses if they trade Ellsbury, Buchholz, and a couple of top prospects.