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SP Bargains

Postby Triplec223 » Tue Dec 30, 2008 10:20 am

Thought I would share my list of starting pitchers who I think will outperform their draft positions this season. Most of them are guys that most people will know about, but aren't big names...yet.

Thoughts, opinions and additions are welcome. Here goes:

Ricky Nolasco (I predict top-15, possibly top-10 numbers - a steal depending on where he goes)
Matt Garza (had some great starts, can be a stud if consistent)
Kevin Slowey (Reliable, yet unspectacular)
Johnny Cueto (Cue the hype machine)
Max Scherzer (another victim of the hype machine)
Brett Myers (will he rebound?)
David Price (now a big target for some people after postseason...)

Brandon Morrow (think he's someone that may be forgotten about in drafts)
Paul Maholm (solid like Slowey - room for improvement?)
Wandy Rodriguez (see Garza)
Matt Cain (a perpetual sleeper - is this the year?)
Jonathan Sanchez (worn down in the second half, draft and sell high?)
John Danks (didn't see his breakout 2008 coming...i think he can carry it over)
Edinson Volquez (I think he's going too high for my taste)

I'm sure I'm missing a lot of guys. Feel free to add some.
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby MashinSpuds » Tue Dec 30, 2008 11:28 am

I don't think Cain and Volquez will be 'bargains' since they're likely going to be drafted high whether they deserve it or not. Cain should be very solid, as should Volquez, but it'll be the wins issue that might make them be a 2nd tier grab for most.

I like Maholm a lot because he typifies the ignored starter on an ignorable team. He's an inning eater that has his great games marred by a few horrible outings. With the respectable strikeout rate and the potential for 8 inning quality starts, he's a great arm to keep an eye on.

Wandy has more iffy starts than great ones but his K rate is excellent. Houston still sucks but he's a very solid late choice.

As for an addition, I'm going to say that Gil Meche will once again be undervalued since he plays for Kansas City. Not an exciting ERA and the Wins are here and there, but the strikeouts are quite good and the Whip is safe enough. He'll be ignored in drafts for the most part but he's a good guy to have around.
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby Triplec223 » Tue Dec 30, 2008 1:00 pm

Thanks...Meche is a good sleeper, and I think Greinke is also a good one to target late.

Would also like to add Clay Bucholz.
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby Maris09 » Tue Dec 30, 2008 1:06 pm

Josh Johnson
Chris Volstad
John Danks
Ubaldo Jimenez
Andy Sonnanstine
John Smoltz
Anthony Reyes
Chris Carpenter



I think all those guys will outperform their draft spot by a decent amount.
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby DbacksRback » Tue Dec 30, 2008 1:16 pm

Im not a believer of bucholtz but maris has a good one in johnson and jimenez ;-D
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby noseeum » Tue Dec 30, 2008 1:51 pm

Scott Baker
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby Bloody Sox » Tue Dec 30, 2008 2:19 pm

Matt Cain is on my avoid list this year. I've owned him for parts of the last three years and he is MUCH too inconsistent for my liking, particularly where he will be drafted. Maybe this is the year he learns how to be consistent, but not on my dime.
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby J35J » Tue Dec 30, 2008 2:22 pm

DbacksRback wrote:Im not a believer of bucholtz but maris has a good one in johnson and jimenez ;-D


Buccholtz is twice the pitcher Johnson and Jimenez are. By all accounts he's just been jacked with too much so its hard to say what will happen with him and his development.

I'm not all that high on Johnson, he's got good stuff but he's a fairly high injury risk and he's still pretty inconsistant overall. He's also on just about everyones lists so I'm not sure he'll come that cheaply in most leagues. I'm of the same feeling with Ubaldo though he isn't the injury risk that Johnson is, he is quite a bit more inconsistant with his control....which is not good! These two are last couple round fliers for me but they generally go earlier than that.
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby Curtis Pride » Tue Dec 30, 2008 2:39 pm

deep deep sleepers.

Jaime Garcia
JA Happ
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Re: SP Bargains

Postby kab21 » Tue Dec 30, 2008 4:02 pm

Curtis Pride wrote:deep deep sleepers.

Jaime Garcia
JA Happ


Did Garcia ever decide whether to get TJ surgery or not? I thought he had, but I'm not sure.
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