Here's an updated top 50. I'm not going to change guys by more than 20-25% based on a third of a season. And frankly, for that big of a jump I'd want to see something really special (see Jennings). Negative change is a drop in my rankings. Guys that are changing just one spot are probably just rounding issues based on the different formulas I use.
Chg Rank Name Pos Team 0 1 Wieters, Matt C Baltimore Orioles 0 2 Price, David P Tampa Bay Devil Rays 0 3 Bumgarner, Madison P San Francisco Giants 0 4 Snider, Travis OF Toronto Blue Jays 0 5 Heyward, Jason OF Atlanta Braves 2 6 Posey, Buster C San Francisco Giants 0 7 Rasmus, Colby OF St. Louis Cardinals -2 8 Feliz, Neftali P Texas Rangers 3 9 Fowler, Dexter OF Colorado Rockies -1 10 Porcello, Rick P Detriot Tigers 4 11 Hanson, Tommy P Atlanta Braves -2 12 Alvarez, Pedro 3B Pittsburgh Pirates -2 13 Maybin, Cameron OF Florida Marlins 0 14 Stanton, Michael OF Florida Marlins -2 15 Anderson, Lars 1B Boston Red Sox 0 16 Moustakas, Mike 3B Kansas City Royals 4 17 Smoak, Justin 1B Texas Rangers -1 18 Hosmer, Eric 1B Kansas City Royals 5 19 Tillman, Chris P Baltimore Orioles -1 20 Cahill, Trevor P Oakland Athletics -1 21 Morrison, Logan 1B Florida Marlins -4 22 Beckham, Tim SS Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1 23 Anderson, Brett P Oakland Athletics 1 24 Beckham, Gordon SS Chicago White Sox 4 25 Matusz, Brian P Baltimore Orioles 1 26 Alonso, Yonder 1B Cincinati Reds 1 27 Vitters, Josh 3B Chicago Cubs -5 28 LaPorta, Matt OF Cleveland Indians -3 29 McCutchen, Andrew OF Pittsburgh Pirates 1 30 Santana, Carlos C Cleveland Indians 4 31 Andrus, Elvis SS Texas Rangers 0 32 Martinez, Fernando OF New York Mets 5 33 Hicks, Aaron OF Minnesota Twins 12 34 Zimmerman, Jordan P Washington Nationals 1 35 Gamel, Mat 3B Milwaukee Brewers 1 36 Montero, Jesus C New York Yankees -4 37 Parker, Jarrod P Arizona Diamondbacks 16 38 Jennings, Desmond OF Tampa Bay Devil Rays 0 39 Holland, Derek P Texas Rangers -10 40 Wallace, Brett 3B St. Louis Cardinals -7 41 Davis, Wade P Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1 42 Revere, Ben OF Minnesota Twins 7 43 Alderson, Tim P San Francisco Giants 13 44 Lawrie, Brett 2B Milwaukee Brewers -5 45 Dominguez, Matt 3B Florida Marlins -4 46 Arencibia, JP C Toronto Blue Jays 0 47 Jackson, Austin OF New York Yankees -5 48 Villalona, Angel 3B San Francisco Giants 0 49 Escobar, Alcides SS Milwaukee Brewers 1 50 Schafer, Jordan OF Atlanta Braves
I'd actually put Strasburg 3rd after Price.
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AEMRICH wrote:here is my updated top 25 with comments- 1.Matt Wieters- C O’s- Needs to take some walks but he isn’t embarrassing himself 2.David Price- SP Ray-All of a sudden he is walking a lot of batters, but still K’ing them 3.Jason Heyward- OF Braves- injured a couple times this season, hitting for more power, walking more lowering the K’s 4.Thomas Hanson- SP Braves- He is a special talent not walking batters- K>1/IP 5.Mike Stanton- OF Marlins- only 19 promoted to AA, showing great power but could cut down on the K’s, 13.3%BB is nice 6.Justin Smoak- 1B Rangers- 32BB to 30K’s good power, will likely be full time in Texas next year 7.Jesus Montero- C Yankees- before moving to AA was hitting .356 with 8HR 8.Madison Bumgarner- SP Giants- another 19yo in AA talk that his FB isn’t as fast as thought, but still K/IP about 1- on the year 52K 12BB in 53IP 9.Buster Posey- C Giants- 10HR in 250AB- showing elite catcher power and knows how to take a BB 10.Chris Tillman- SP O’s- lowered his BB rate from 11.2% to 7.2% 21yo in AAA 11.Carlos Santana- C Indians 265ISOP 18.%BB 12.5%K 10HR 12.Matt LaPorta- 1B/OF Indians- he will be back in Cleveland shortly- one of the best power hitters in the minors 13.Nefatli Feliz- SP Rangers 21 in AAA holding his own but needs to really work on his command, still very young for the league 14.Derek Holland- Rangers rookie in the majors walking just 7% K 17%, 14ER have come against the Red Sox, Yankees, and Angels he is still developing but will be one of the top lefties in the game 15. Andrew McCutchen- OF Pirates- what a player! needs to work on his BB and i’m not sure he will ever hit more than 10HR, also needs to work on SB efficency 16.Yonder Alonoso- 1B Reds in AA now was showing good power in A+ good eye 17.Brett Wallace- 3B Cards struggling some since promotion to AAA would like to see the K’s drop and the BB increase 18.Pedro Alvarez- 3B Pirates has been somewhat streaky showing good power nice to know after wrist problems last year 19.Jarrod Parker- SP D-Backs- his WHIP sits at 1.59 but hasn’t given up a HR 20.Mike Moustakas- 3B Royals-needs to take more BB’s, he did go of in the second half last year 21.Josh Vitters- 3B Cubs- he has pushed his stock very far up this year, was on an amazing streak a couple weeks ago, not even all that lucky- but needs to increase BB’s 22.Eric Hosmer- 1B Royals- very young, hitting a lot of GB, and K’s alot, BB a decent amount 23.Desmond Jennings- OF Rays- he is going it all, fine BB and K%, SBs hitting for power and average, now the trick is to stay healthy 24.Dominic Brown- OF Phillies- one of my favorite movers showing an increase in power in a pitchers league, i’d like the K’s to come down, but is showing good patience and looks to have 5 tools 25.Brian Matusz- SP O’s he has been very impressive so far his FIP is 1ER higher than his era but still a fantastic 3.14, striking out 27% of batters
this doesn't include 2009 draftees- I would place Strasburg at number 2 behind Weiters, Dustin Ackley would possible crack the top 25, but would for sure would be top 30
The biggest risers- Mike Stanton, Carlos Santana, Jesus Montero, Dominic Brown, Desmond Jennings
it is important for me to note that players with over 130AB or 50IP were not considered that means guys like snider, porcello, cahill, etc.
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I like the aggressive rating on Montero. For fantasy, his bat is about as good as anybody in the minors, plus factoring in the chance he could end up at catcher is big.
Personally, I like Smoak over Stanton right now, just seems like a much safer pick with his plate discipline and team and while he doesn't have as much power upside as Stanton, no one in the minors does and Smoak will be fine.