LostInTheSauce wrote:I would guess the career 3 to 1 K to BB is the number 1 indicator.
That doesn't necessarily mean anything, other than a possible small decline in BA. Here's a list of MLB players who had a worse K:BB rate last year:
And he had the same rate as Alfonso Soriano, Brandon Phillips, and Jermaine Dye. Not to mention, Ludwick's was only .02 worse than Miguel Cabrera.
LostInTheSauce wrote:The 267 career high avg up until last year is another.
BA is the only category I don't expect him to repeat. However, his major league sample size is quite small. He never had regular playing time up until '07. In '04 and '05, he suffered a rash of injuries and couldn't get on track. Looking at his minor league stats, in '02 and '03 in AAA he hit .285 and .303. Although I don't see .299 again (more like .280), a dip in average doesn't mean he'll be a poor draft.
LostInTheSauce wrote:The fact that he was a nobody his whole minor or major league career.
That's just incorrect. Ludwick was a very highly touted prospect. He was a second round draft pick, rated the third best prospect in the A's organization in '01, and then again in '03 as the Ranger's 7th best.