You guys are great!! Why so hateful? It's only a fantasy baseball draft!
Actually, I know how hardcore it is and as a fan of the Cafe for quite some time, I figured I'd weigh in and try to defend myself a bit since I love a solid fantasy baseball draft discussion. That's the link to my analysis that was posted above.
Now, I was sifting through some of the comments you guys made and most are solid observations. I definetely wouldn't have picked EE in the 6th either, Derek Lowe a little early imo (I would have taken Greinke or Harang there), and I am not a fan yet of taking a Dustin Pedroia in the second. You can justify it however, but I wouldn't.
The thing about this draft for me personally, is that I like to take advantage of how experts draft. I did this draft for real and the team I chose is the same team I would draft in a money league. Go ahead and say my team is terrible or I don't know how to draft but I win money leagues every year, I've played in over 300 fantasy baseball leagues in the 12 years I've been playing and I have honed my drafting craft over the years. My strategies work for me every year, and I stick to them year in and year out. What I have learned about experts (and you guys already hinted at this) is that they like to draft for hype. They like to have the prestige of "making the best pick of the draft" or the "steal of the draft" if you will. They like the glory! But, sometimes, when you look at a draft in hindsight and you add up projected stats and look at the overall team, you have to ask yourself... "what were these guys thinking". I like to take advantage of that.
As for me personally, I am not a numbers guy, I am not a stat cruncher and never will be. I base my teams off countless mock drafts, past few years of stats, trends, playing time, and the lovely "potential" that they show through their past numbers and minor league numbers. I don't multiply the percentage of total bases with the exponent of 4 against right handers during away games. Not me dude. It's too complicated.
As for my questionable picks, so far you guys picked out Quentin and Jeter. I already commented on them in my blog post but here is another post I did on Quentin http://www.fantasybaseballexpress.com/2 ... es-me.html
. I am high on him just like you guys are all high on others. I like picking Quentin in the 3rd because I think he's for real and I think that because I've done some homework here. I also did an article like this on Jacoby Ellsbury who I am high on. As for Jeter, wouldn't you guys agree that after Jeter, the next few SS's you mentioned all carry some risk? Other than Michael Young who is a robot (but had some nagging injuries in 2008), Jeter is the most sure thing of that group. Sure, he digessed a little bit but so did the entire Yankee team. Yeah, he's getting older but look at his numbers again in 2008, were they really that far off than his norm? You really have to take the offense as a whole into consideration. But anyway, I did not pick Jeter for upside, I picked Jeter for durability and consistentcy and most of all, peace of mind. I was saving rounds 9-14 for mostly pitching like I always do and by then, Jeter would have been gone along with most of the others.
I was conversing with Tim McLoed of Roto Rob about this and through it all, I feel like I actually did okay. Tim and I both agree that my pitching is risky and that I am low on K's. That is true, but the players I picked are low risk and I can certainly anihilate this league in Wins, ERA, WHIP while staying middle of the pack in K's. Wang, Carmona, Garza, Floyd in my opinion were decent value picks considering what was left. Most experts aren't giving these guys a chance this year, but they were better than what else was out there.
So that's my take. I just wanted to add to the discussion. There's a fat chance anyone else from this draft will chime in so I figured I'd start it off. Feel free to rip me apart, but hopefully you guys see some value in what I'm doing.