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2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report (Updated 4/1/09)

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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby rookies and cream » Sun Dec 14, 2008 2:36 am

Neato Torpedo wrote:Jesus, Longoria MDP at 19.8?


Yes, and one of the few players that has a consistent ADP across sites.
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby kimchi_chigae » Sun Dec 14, 2008 2:49 am

Yoda wrote:What am I missing? The guy was a one year wonder.


Why so low on Pena? He's not going to repeat his numbers from 2007, but 08 was pretty decent considering he struggled mighty before going on the DL. His second half was pretty good, not spectacular, but good. I think he's a lock to go over 100RBIs again and should be good for about 35HRs. AVG won't be pretty, but better than Dunn's.
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby jlm53089 » Sun Dec 14, 2008 2:55 am

Neato Torpedo wrote:Jesus, Longoria MDP at 19.8?


I agree I have a Man Crush on him just as much as the next guy but that is very high.

He also should not be ranked over many of those other people on that list.
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby Neato Torpedo » Sun Dec 14, 2008 2:59 am

rookies and cream wrote:
Neato Torpedo wrote:Jesus, Longoria MDP at 19.8?


Yes, and one of the few players that has a consistent ADP across sites.

A guy that's played only 122 games over his only MLB season, struck out 122 times, and played only 327 games between the majors and minors? Sure, he'll be a monster, but Beltran? Soriano? Carlos Lee? BJ Upton? I'd wouldn't draft him before Bay at 38 in a non-keeper just because of the collapse risk. In a keeper, I'd draft him 15 at the earliest but come on...
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby rookies and cream » Sun Dec 14, 2008 3:02 am

Neato Torpedo wrote:
rookies and cream wrote:
Neato Torpedo wrote:Jesus, Longoria MDP at 19.8?


Yes, and one of the few players that has a consistent ADP across sites.

A guy that's played only 122 games over his only MLB season, struck out 122 times, and played only 327 games between the majors and minors? Sure, he'll be a monster, but Beltran? Soriano? Carlos Lee? BJ Upton? I'd wouldn't draft him before Bay at 38 in a non-keeper just because of the collapse risk. In a keeper, I'd draft him 15 at the earliest but come on...


Don't shoot the messenger. :-o :-D :-b
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby fast dogs » Sun Dec 14, 2008 3:38 am

is anybody else afraid of Berkman with an early 2nd round selection?
Longoria is Braun revisited. it worked for them last year.
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby Neato Torpedo » Sun Dec 14, 2008 4:44 am

rookies and cream wrote:
Neato Torpedo wrote:
rookies and cream wrote:
Yes, and one of the few players that has a consistent ADP across sites.

A guy that's played only 122 games over his only MLB season, struck out 122 times, and played only 327 games between the majors and minors? Sure, he'll be a monster, but Beltran? Soriano? Carlos Lee? BJ Upton? I'd wouldn't draft him before Bay at 38 in a non-keeper just because of the collapse risk. In a keeper, I'd draft him 15 at the earliest but come on...


Don't shoot the messenger. :-o :-D :-b
I'm not, it's just....wow. Why don't they just draft Wieters or Price in the 3rd round? It's all hype.

fast dogs: Why is everyone so quick to invoke Braun nowadays? His '07 season will far outproduce any rookie for a LONG time. It's not a comparison to make to any rookie who puts together a decent fantasy year or goes on a two week hot streak. Check this out:

162-game pace:
Braun '07: 49 HR, 139 RBI, 22 SB, 130 R, .324 AVG,
Longoria '08: 36 HR, 113 RBI, 9 SB, 89 R, .272 AVG

Obviously, not even close. Longoria gets crushed in every category. A better comparison would be Chipper Jones with a bit more power, or Eric Hinske with a little less speed. As you can tell, it could go either way, though it obviously leans toward Chipper because Longoria was a much better prospect than Hinske was (then again, see: Young, Delmon).
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby wkelly91 » Sun Dec 14, 2008 6:05 am

Neato Torpedo wrote:Obviously, not even close. Longoria gets crushed in every category. A better comparison would be Chipper Jones with a bit more power, or Eric Hinske with a little less speed. As you can tell, it could go either way, though it obviously leans toward Chipper because Longoria was a much better prospect than Hinske was (then again, see: Young, Delmon).


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Obviously no man crush here :-b
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby Yoda » Sun Dec 14, 2008 10:56 am

kimchi_chigae wrote:
Yoda wrote:What am I missing? The guy was a one year wonder.


Why so low on Pena? He's not going to repeat his numbers from 2007, but 08 was pretty decent considering he struggled mighty before going on the DL. His second half was pretty good, not spectacular, but good. I think he's a lock to go over 100RBIs again and should be good for about 35HRs. AVG won't be pretty, but better than Dunn's.


He is a poor man's Dunn. How is he a top 50-60 pick and better than Delgado, Thome or Reynolds?
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Re: 2009 Median Draft Position (MDP) Report

Postby rookies and cream » Sun Dec 14, 2008 1:51 pm

Special thanks to Mock Draft Central for providing me with their data this year. This allowed me to expand the MDP report to an early 100. Also added in standard deviation and 12-team round.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key= ... b9JA&gid=0
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