Definitely not Saunders, even with him having a pretty good season. I think you can make a case for each of the other 3 guys.
I don't want to give up on Harang, but I can't tell you what went wrong last year and I think I'd be a little worried if I owned him. He could end up being a good value pick next year.
Baker had a great season. I don't remember his stuff being that good and I was surprised he struckout that many batters this season, but he knows how to pitch. I think he can continue to be successful.
Josh Johnson could have a breakout year in 09. He's the youngest of the 3 and he has the stuff to outperform anyone in that group a few yeas down the road. He plays in the NL in a pitcher friendly park and could be the better pick in a dynasty.
I'd stick with Harang...the other guys I don't think could repeat their 2008 performances....maybe Baker, maybe. I think Harang is more likely to bounce back than the others are to repeat.
I would have to go with Harang, but that is simply based on past experience. Harang has certainly been a very good SP until last season. Baker does not have Harangs K potential. Johnson has been up and down the past few years. Saunders had a good year in 08, but it has been only the one year. Weaver has been a disappointment now for a few seasons. There is no way to know whether Harang will bounce back to his former self any more than there is any way to know whether Saunders or Baker will repeat their 08 campaigns so you have to just take a guess.
Harang. I worry about forearm injuries but Harang had a good September. You know you're getting an ace when he's on. Baker is very close in my opinion, but I like Harang's ace upside better.
San D wrote:Harang. I worry about forearm injuries but Harang had a good September. You know you're getting an ace when he's on. Baker is very close in my opinion, but I like Harang's ace upside better.
I tend to agree, I would go Harang, Baker and Johnson as a last resort. I think Johnson has the best long term value and Harang as the shorter term answer, Baker is plain solid.
I'll go against the grain and say johnson, in his second year he pitched 150+ innings with a 3.10 ERA, from then on hes been injured and hasn't been able to show his stuff, he ended last year really well and would give him a chance.