stevethumb wrote:the rockies and d'backs did pretty well last year and tampa bay this year..the marlins and minnesota are competitive even with their shoestring budget...what have the yankees won recently ? or the LAD or LAA ?
There are exceptions, but only a few. The teams that spend the most money routinely make the playoffs (which is what truly matters...because if you can't get there, you can't win anyway). And I don't blame New York or Boston for doing what they have to do to win, it's a problem of the system. There is no real competitive balance.
The_Show wrote:I don't think going to the AL East will kill Peavy's value. It'll take an obvious hit since he'll be going from the weak NL West to the powerhouse AL East. But I think Peavy can dominate wherever he goes. In 07, he dominated on the road just as much as he did at home (even had a better record on the road). So leaving Petco isn't a problem...it's switching leagues that'll be the problem.
I don't know. I expect Peavy's strikeout rate to drop considerably in that division with his ERA possibly heading into the 3.50 range. If he knows what's good for him, he'll decline a trade to New York.
Escobar (5 yrs team control) has more value than Cano to a team that will likely be headed into a long rebuilding process. And Cano isn't necessarily a bargain at 6M, 9M and 10M with a 14M and 15M options. Why not just sign Odawg for around 4/40 (or around there)? I'm not suggesting that the Padres should be signing expensive FA's, it's just that bringing in a player like Cano is like signing a FA to a 3/27M deal (including Cano's option buyouts).
Strangely Gorkys and AJax are somewhat comparable.
The_Show wrote:I don't think going to the AL East will kill Peavy's value. It'll take an obvious hit since he'll be going from the weak NL West to the powerhouse AL East. But I think Peavy can dominate wherever he goes. In 07, he dominated on the road just as much as he did at home (even had a better record on the road). So leaving Petco isn't a problem...it's switching leagues that'll be the problem.
I don't know. I expect Peavy's strikeout rate to drop considerably in that division with his ERA possibly heading into the 3.50 range. If he knows what's good for him, he'll decline a trade to New York.
I doubt his numbers will tank like that.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
Since the Padres look like they're trying to shed as much salary as possible, I don't think Cano will be in the gameplan. Judging by their demands, they will probably ask for Hughes + either Kennedy or Jackson as the centerpieces of the deal. Maybe throw Melky in there. Possibly Igawa, as $4 million a year isn't a bad price for a rotation guy if you don't care so much about performance.
The_Show wrote:I don't think going to the AL East will kill Peavy's value. It'll take an obvious hit since he'll be going from the weak NL West to the powerhouse AL East. But I think Peavy can dominate wherever he goes. In 07, he dominated on the road just as much as he did at home (even had a better record on the road). So leaving Petco isn't a problem...it's switching leagues that'll be the problem.
I don't know. I expect Peavy's strikeout rate to drop considerably in that division with his ERA possibly heading into the 3.50 range. If he knows what's good for him, he'll decline a trade to New York.
I doubt his numbers will tank like that.
Why?
His FIP last year in San Diego was 3.60 as it was.
"His FIP last year in San Diego was 3.60 as it was."
That might be true, but one year doesn't make a player. He's only 28 years old. No reason why he can't have a season — just from a skills standpoint — more in tune with his production in 2004, 2005, or 2007.
He only had 10 wins last year. Do you think he'll get more as a member of the New York Yankees?
bigwords wrote:That might be true, but one year doesn't make a player. He's only 28 years old. No reason why he can't have a season — just from a skills standpoint — more in tune with his production in 2004, 2005, or 2007.
True, but he also has a career 3.50 FIP. Last year was the norm, not the exception.
He only had 10 wins last year. Do you think he'll get more as a member of the New York Yankees?
No doubt, but the rest of the numbers will go down.
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by mweir145 » Sat Nov 15, 2008 1:15 pm 
