Fantasy Baseball Cafe Forums

by **Inukchuk** » Tue Aug 26, 2008 7:53 am

He batted 313 in 06, 268 in 07, and he's currently rocking a 234...

While the Ks are ridiculous this year, they've always been bad...any theories as to why his AVG is so different from year to year? Is there any chance it settles into a certain range, and if so, where?

by **dclark0699** » Tue Aug 26, 2008 8:01 am

I'd expect him to settle somewhere around the .260 mark, he could be so good if he didn't strikeout every other at bat.

by **WyldStallyn** » Tue Aug 26, 2008 9:29 am

in the few ab's of his ive seen, it looks like he is trying to pull everything. i could be wrong, but i dont think he's always had that mindset. is there any data out there which shows his pull tendency?

by **pokerplaya** » Wed Aug 27, 2008 9:31 pm

WyldStallyn wrote:in the few ab's of his ive seen, it looks like he is trying to pull everything. i could be wrong, but i dont think he's always had that mindset. is there any data out there which shows his pull tendency?

I don't have any hard data at my disposal, but I know that he has hit a ton of his HR's the other way this year. Definitely a product of the short LF porch in tiny Citizen's Bank Park, but it shows he does go the other way.

by **Old_Style** » Wed Aug 27, 2008 9:58 pm

dclark0699 wrote:

I'd expect him to settle somewhere around the .260 mark, he could be so good if he didn't strikeout every other at bat.

How do you read these graphs and get that number?
I'm very ignorant when it comes to this stuff. :-B

by **abrage22** » Wed Aug 27, 2008 10:01 pm

Old_Style wrote:
dclark0699 wrote:

I'd expect him to settle somewhere around the .260 mark, he could be so good if he didn't strikeout every other at bat.

How do you read this graphs and get that number?
I'm very ignorant when it comes to this stuff.

u can't because your a sox fan

im kidding ;-7

by **Snakes Gould** » Wed Aug 27, 2008 10:41 pm

well it certainly doesnt help that opposing infields play the extreme shift with him. yes he pulls everything, except for opposite field home runs, if that makes sense. he cant go the other way for a slap single .

personally, i feel like his avg has plummeted because he cant hit breaking balls. opposing pitchers wont challenge him with fastballs and he swings and misses FAR too much.

by **HOOTIE** » Thu Aug 28, 2008 12:07 am

His contact rate has dropped every year, while his hr/f ratio has dropped as well. Less contact, and hitting flyballs, more likely outs then groundballs, are a reason he's a .260-.270 hitter, unless his hr'f ratio is off the charts like in 06.