Neato Torpedo wrote:He hasn't been stealing bases for years, though, and he's still put up really solid numbers. And due to his tremendous raw ability, I don't see him falling off for another couple years. And keep in mind, it's not like he's Dunn or Fielder, his career K rate is really low. Players don't just lose their hitting eye once they turn 33, and his ability to locate the bat anywhere within the strike zone should stay intact. A good slump and some more selective hitting would allow him to produce top tier numbers for a few more years.
the reason for him not k'ing isnt his great hitter's eye. its the fact that he swings at everything. literally. once hes a tick too slow, i think you'll see his k's go up.
vlad used to do things that very few people could do (like 40-40). now, he does things that it seems a lot of guys do (.300 30 hr 100 rbi). whether he falls off or not really isnt the question, because you need to draft him where you draft guys like soriano, berkman, sizemore, beltran, braun etc... so what you have to ask yourself next year is whether or not its worth it IF he falls off.