Personally, someone who has been so injury prone at such a young age cannot be counted on to stay healthy for the longer term. It is really anyone's guess as to whether he can stay healthy through the end of this season as injuries are not predictable. If I were a betting man, then based on his track record, he will breakdown this year and in the future as he continue to tease us.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
I need him to get hurt again because I know if he pitches out the rest of the year - when the time comes next year - I'm going to consider keeping him.
True, there really is no way to predict any future injuries, just be aware of his past and bid accordngly.
So perhaps the question becomes: If he can stay healthy this year and continue to be one of the most, if not the most dominant starting pitcher in the game, where should he be drafted next year?
pokerplaya wrote:True, there really is no way to predict any future injuries, just be aware of his past and bid accordngly.
So perhaps the question becomes: If he can stay healthy this year and continue to be one of the most, if not the most dominant starting pitcher in the game, where should he be drafted next year?
Barring injury for the rest of the year - I'd consider taking him as my number 3 starter next year.
EDIT: Just to clarify - I meant #3 on my team - not overall
Can anyone think of any pitcher who actually turned out to be a dependable ace after being so riddled with injuries early in his career? Off the top of my head I can't think of one, but maybe some other posters might be able to come up with something...
Carpenter comes to mind. He started coming into his own at around 26 and then missed almost two years with a serious shoulder injury. Came back and dominated and was great for a couple of years then had the TJ.
Beckett was extremely injury prone as well and to some degree still is.
Burnett also but he was never a top 10 pitcher. Just very good.
Smoltz had some injury issues and probably is the poster child for someone who endured so many of them.
Those are just the top of my head but there are only a handful.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
He's hit the 100 IP mark, but he hasn't hit it without getting injured at all this year, I think the idea he is past his injury plague is baseless. There is just no way to predict it, and I feel sorry for anyone that feels completely confident in the idea that he is completely out of the woods. We all know the story on this guy, he's a complete and utter stud, but for every ounce of stud in him there is an equal one of risk, if you are a gambler have fun, if injuries or worrying about injuries makes you sick it's best to stay away. Drafting Harden or keeping Harden in my mind forces you to change you draft strategy to ensure some level of quality pitching depth, because his injury prone isn't miss 3-4 start over the course of the year that can be fixed with waiver wire pick ups at anytime, he's liable to go down for half the season or more.