peavy is far from proven like padilla is, padilla has had a good ERA for 2 years now, and remember all those blown saves by mesa that cost padilla wins, wont happen this year with wagner on the mound. peavy has much more upside, but until he can put his potential into numbers i would go with padilla and the sure thing.
Reyes and guerrero, the two most blessed players in the league, not to mention the most fun to watch
jebatzel wrote:Padres have some run support this year, so he should win 15 games at least.
JB
Those are some high expectations. I like both but would go with Padilla.
i would agree with peavy getting 15 wins and i don't see how those are lofty really. he had no run support last year and had 12 wins. now he has nevin healthy, giles, payton....much improved and he is a year older. look at his numbers even after the all star break era of 3.46 whip 1.21 68 k's in 78 ip. i think he will really do well this year and has nice upside, where as i think padilla has reached his peak.
I would go with Peavy .. loads of potential entering his 3rd year .. with enough run support to win between 15 to 17 games....Padilla .. has already hit his ceiling...
Padilla has 415 innings on that arm over the last two years. It doesn't seem like a ton, but prior to '02, he never had more than 93 IP in a season in his entire pro career. Something has to give ....