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Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

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Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby Old_Style » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:24 pm

This came up the other day during a discussion a buddy and I were having the other day. I'm not sure how obscure this stat is, but I figured I'd throw it out to the community and see what I can get.

What percentage of teams, leading their division at the all star break, have made the playoffs?
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Re: Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby ordinarygenius » Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:23 pm

From MLB.com.

" Since the leagues split into three divisions, 53 of the 78 teams (67.9 percent) who led a division at the All-Star break finished the season there. Over the past 10 years, 50 of the 80 teams (62.5 percent) that were in first place in either a division or a Wild Card race at the break made the playoffs.

Being on top when the July break arrives is no guarantee of an October invitation, though. During the past decade, two or more leaders at the break were unable to make the playoffs each year, except in 2000, when seven of eight leaders held on for postseason berths.

Last year, all four National League leaders at the break -- the Mets, Brewers, Padres and the Wild Card-leading Dodgers -- did not make the playoffs."
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Re: Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby acsguitar » Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:27 pm

ordinarygenius wrote:
Last year, all four National League leaders at the break -- the Mets, Brewers, Padres and the Wild Card-leading Dodgers -- did not make the playoffs."


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Re: Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby NorthSider2 » Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:35 pm

It will be interesting to see what will happen this year. There are some close races now in all divisions but teams look hot enough not to cool off. I remember the Mets last year losing and that just sucked for them. I think the Brewers will surge in the NL to grab the Wild Card and the Tigers to come back and beat out the Redsox for the wild card.

No Yanks or RedSox in the playoffs this year ;-D
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Re: Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby Old_Style » Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:39 pm

NorthSider2 wrote:No Yanks or RedSox in the playoffs this year ;-D


ESPN would explode. 8-o

Thanks for the knowledge og. ;-D
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Re: Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby NorthSider2 » Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:40 pm

Old_Style wrote:
NorthSider2 wrote:No Yanks or RedSox in the playoffs this year ;-D


ESPN would explode. 8-o

Thanks for the knowledge og. ;-D


No WhiteSox either }:-)
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Re: Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby Old_Style » Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:40 pm

NorthSider2 wrote:No WhiteSox either }:-)


Nobody cares about them anyways.
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Re: Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby NorthSider2 » Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:51 pm

My full Predictions:

AL West: Angels
AL Central: WhiteSox (kidding about the above Post)
AL East: Rays
AL Wild Card: Tigers ;-D

NL West: Rockies (at 83-81 or worse)
NL Central: Cubs
NL East: Marlins
NL Wild Card: Brewers

NL:
Cubs over Rockies in 4
Brewers over Marlins in 5

AL:
Angels over Tigers in 4
WhiteSox over Rays in 4

Cubs over Brewers in 6
WhiteSox over Angels in 7

Cubs over WhiteSox in 7

Hopefully that happens ;-D
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Re: Leading At The Break - Making The Playoffs

Postby tah161 » Tue Jul 08, 2008 6:30 pm

My predictions:

AL East: Boston
AL Central: White Sox
Al West: Angels
AL Wild Card: Rays

NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Card: Brewers


WS: Angels VS. Dodgers.
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