by ha_jai » Mon Jun 23, 2008 6:24 pm
Well I am one of those guilty ones who reached for him and spent a mid draft pick on him. But I got him mostly for a his SB potential. Yea, he had a career year last year but that was mostly for his HR and SB production combined. I have no doubt that he may never hit 20 HR again, but I think 15 is realistic. Prior to last year, he did hit 26 HR in 2007. He also had a career year in SB but I think the SB regression is much lower than a HR regression. He had 33 SB after the break last season, so if he is fully healthy, I don't see why he cannot contribute 25 SB this year. Optimistic? Definitely. But not too many OF can hit 15 HR and throw in 30+ SB per season. Stats like that are great for roto if you can take the low BA hit, but definitely stay away from Byrnes if you are in H2H. He is too much of a streaky hitter.