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Best site for Draft Order?

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Best site for Draft Order?

Postby Fantstud » Mon Mar 01, 2004 12:00 am

Is there a site that can give stats on which draft order spot has the best % of winning the league? Or does anyone have an oppinion on which is the best spot to draft from? I'm in a 3 player Keeper and I pick 1st this year. Should I trade the Spot??? Thanks
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Re: Best site for Draft Order?

Postby HOOTIE » Mon Mar 01, 2004 2:12 am

Fantstud wrote:Is there a site that can give stats on which draft order spot has the best % of winning the league? Or does anyone have an oppinion on which is the best spot to draft from? I'm in a 3 player Keeper and I pick 1st this year. Should I trade the Spot??? Thanks



I doubt there is such a stat. Ask yourself, do you want Arod? If not, trade it. Without knowing how many teams, trading might not be wise. I wouldn't want to be farther then pick 6 myself.
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Postby xeifrank » Mon Mar 01, 2004 2:54 am

Not completely scientifical, but here's one.

Draft Order % Chance of winning league link

vr,

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Postby HOOTIE » Mon Mar 01, 2004 3:14 am

xeifrank wrote:Not completely scientifical, but here's one.

Draft Order % Chance of winning league link

vr,

Xeifrank


Spots 1 and 2 rate high at least by your results. You think it's a edge?
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Postby xeifrank » Mon Mar 01, 2004 3:59 am

It's an edge when you draft against smart people. That's really all it proves up to this point. It also shows the value of drafting AROD or Pujols.

vr,

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Postby Arlo » Mon Mar 01, 2004 5:47 am

HOOTIE wrote:
xeifrank wrote:Not completely scientifical, but here's one.

Draft Order % Chance of winning league link

vr,

Xeifrank


Spots 1 and 2 rate high at least by your results. You think it's a edge?

I'd say this is true, if we assume that player values tend to lie on something resembling a bell curve, but only in the very long run. In any given season, the dropoffs might favor other picks.

Of course, there's also the inherent (tiny) edge of picking early in drafts with an odd number of rounds. :-)

Basically, though, this effect is negligible and essentially theoretical. A single injury or difference in the way you rank players is enough to make this a moot point.
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Postby Fantstud » Mon Mar 01, 2004 9:46 am

I love that site thanks. Any other sites out there, or thoughts??
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