Yoda wrote: interchange wrote:
Yoda wrote:He is not 25 even if he is healthy. A pitcher doesn't go from nothing to top 25 just because he has a few good starts. There are exceptions obviously but Duchs is not.
I disagree. If he were a full-time starter with a couple of 200IP seasons behind him, then he would easily be a top-25 SP.
Those are a whole lot of if's and we are not even accounting for his health.
I'm not saying that there aren't 25 pitchers I'd rather have than him... I'm just saying that given his situation, IF he stays healthy, he's a solid bet to end the year with numbers that place him in the top 25 statistically.
That said, he's not a solid bet to stay healthy. So he's not a solid bet to finish top 25 overall.