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by lilfrier » Thu Jun 05, 2008 9:57 pm
noseeum wrote:StlSluggers wrote:lilfrier wrote:Not necessarily. At 80% success, Reyes still gets about 50 or so extra points, and Carl Crawford gets 40 extra. 80% is average for a good base stealer, and it allows for a fairly good points total. Even A-Rod had 24 SBs to 4 CS last year...
Exaclty. The new reality is that - from a fantasy perspective - stolen bases should not be an asset unto themselves. Rather, they are a nice addition that can boost a player's value if he possesses certain prerequisites that are essential to a baseball player.
50 points over the course of a season for Reyes' steals is not much at all when you consider Howard gets a minimum of 240 points if he hits 40 homers and no one else is on base for any of them.
2 points for a steal and no negatives for caught stealing still heavily favors power, much more so than 4X4 or 5X5, but I think +1 and -1 just makes steals irrelevant. Reyes would go way down in value in the draft.
Well, we actually do -1 for Ks, so Howard's 200+K's cuts it to 40+ points. Reyes still went like 6th in the draft, but whatever.
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