New members of the 40-HR club?

[duckbillgates]

The following players are on pace for 40-homer seasons (or really close):

Chase Utley
Dan Uggla
Lance Berkman
Adrian Gonzalez
Adam Dunn
Carlos Quentin
Ryan Howard
Ryan Braun
Pat Burrell
Josh Hamilton
Ryan Ludwick

Clearly, this is evidence that it is still early, but which of the above who have never done it will join the club?

[bigh0rt]

The following players are on pace for 40-homer seasons (or really close):

Chase Utley
Dan Uggla
Lance Berkman
Adrian Gonzalez
Adam Dunn
Carlos Quentin
Ryan Howard
Ryan Braun
Pat Burrell
Josh Hamilton
Ryan Ludwick

Clearly, this is evidence that it is still early, but which of the above who have never done it will join the club?

Utley is the only possibility, and I don't think he does it. Everyone else already has or isn't going to.

[jfg]

Quentin will come close
Braun
Hamilton will be close, I think he might do it.
Maybe Burrell.

[duckbillgates]

Adrian Gonzalez already has 6 HR at Petco (compared to 10 in all of 2007). I think he's actually got a shot ...

[j24jags]

Chase Utley
Lance Berkman
Adam Dunn
Ryan Howard
Ryan Braun

Of those guys, the only ones I see hitting 40 are the ones I listed above. So to answer your question, the only new entries are Utley and Braun.

[chase_utley26]

The following players are on pace for 40-homer seasons (or really close):

Chase Utley- Yes
Dan Uggla- No
Lance Berkman- Yes
Adrian Gonzalez- Maybe
Adam Dunn- Yes
Carlos Quentin- Maybe
Ryan Howard- Yes
Ryan Braun- Maybe
Pat Burrell- No
Josh Hamilton- Yes
Ryan Ludwick- No

Clearly, this is evidence that it is still early, but which of the above who have never done it will join the club?

[NWSoxaholic]

I agree with Adrian Gonzalez- I think he does it. The guy doesn't get the love he deserves because there's so many good 1B's ahead of him.

[Another Blown Save]

Out of the guys who haven't hit 40 HRs in a season I'd rank them

1. Hamilton
2. Braun
3. Adrian Gonzalez

I'd don't see anybody else joining the club.

[BJSFAN123]

I wouldn't be surprised if Hamilton hits 40

Gonzalez maybe, he would for sure if he didn't play in petco

[The Artful Dodger]

I'll say Utley, Berkman, Braun, Hamilton, Dunn, and Gonzalez.

Had Utley not been sidelined with injury, he would've come close to 40 HR last year and will at least come close this season.

I think Berkman can do it on a good surge yet, but the odd thing is his groundball rate hasn't changed much.

Braun obviously hasn't had the sample size, but June was a blistering one for him and even if that 8 HR week had proven, he can hit them in bunches and has the potential to come around with a couple of 10 HR months.

Hamilton should keep pushing his HR total up to 35 or more, given that he's benefited greatly in hitting in Texas, and should continue as he rolls into the summer months.

Dunn can usually be counted in for 40 HR anyway.

Adrian Gonzalez has been a surprise in that the splits haven't been that lopsided as expected between his home/road power production. I've always thought he could generate 40 HR power if he didn't hit half of the year at Petco, but he doesn't seem deterred by Petco's spacious dimensions and sea breezes thus far. It will be interesting to see if he can still churn out some power at home.