freeling_prideful wrote:Bruce != Braun
Bruce <<< Braun
A rookie season like Braun's comes like once every 5-10 years. Bruce just isn't going to keep pace, there's no way. Esp. given his struggles in his past few games, it looks like people are starting to figure out how to pitch to him. If he finishes with a better line than 280/18 HR/60 RBI/60 R I will be astonished.
There is just no way to be sure at this point. With a rookie hitter, its not just about talent, its about how well they adjust to the adjustments that pitchers are making to deal with them. Braun made those adjustments fast. So did Pujols in his first year. So the question isn't whether or not Bruce is a great hitter, he obviously is. The question is whether he's a smart hitter.
We don't have a statistically significant sample size to work off of yet, so lets put stat comparisons aside for a second. One thing that I think may indicate a big year for Bruce (maybe not as big as Braun or Pujols, but big none the less) is that when he was still in the minors, almost overnight, he made an adjustment in his swing that radically cut down his K's. The question is, can he make similar adjustments at the MLB level. I own him in two leagues, so I'm bias, but I think he can.